Conf =  Big-Ten                   Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Dave Trahan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.5871429    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 90.8)     0-15   
 330 H Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 78.9)     3-10   
 402 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (10- 7, 79.0)     3-10   
 404 H Schuylerville          NY C  Sec 2   (15- 3, 76.5)     8- 6   
 409 H LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 76.4)     3-15   
 413 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 75.3)     3- 7   
 416 H Christian Bros-Albany  NY A  Sec 2   (13- 5, 88.9)     5-18   
 420 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 70.4)     9-14   
 423 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (11- 7, 83.8)     5-12   
 425 H Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 70.3)     2- 1   
 430 A Troy                   NY B  Sec 2   ( 3-15, 62.6)     7- 5   
 504 A Christian Bros-Albany  NY A  Sec 2   (13- 5, 88.9)     1-15   
 507 A LaSalle Institute      NY A  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 76.4)     4-11   
 509 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (10- 6, 76.0)     5- 7   
 514 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 70.3)     6- 7   
 516 H Troy                   NY B  Sec 2   ( 3-15, 62.6)    15- 5   
 518 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 75.3)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Shaker                  0-15     -15   -21           0.00
   330 H Colonie Central         3-10      -7    -9    +      2.51
   402 H Queensbury              3-10      -7    -9    +      2.58
   404 H Schuylerville           8- 6       2    -7    +++    9.08
   409 H LaSalle Institute       3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.04
   413 H Bethlehem               3- 7      -4    -5           1.90
   416 H Christian Bros-Albany   5-18     -13   -19           0.00
   420 H South Glens Falls       9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.98
   423 H Guilderland             5-12      -7   -14    +      3.00
   425 H Amsterdam               2- 1       1     0           1.88
   430 A Troy                    7- 5       2     5    -     -3.16
   504 A Christian Bros-Albany   1-15     -14   -21           0.00
   507 A LaSalle Institute       4-11      -7    -8           1.63
   509 H Glens Falls             5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.57
   514 A Amsterdam               6- 7      -1    -2           1.55
   516 H Troy                   15- 5      10     6    +      3.17
   518 A Bethlehem               3-11      -8    -7          -0.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H LaSalle Institute       3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.04
   420 H South Glens Falls       9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.98
   430 A Troy                    7- 5       2     5    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Schuylerville           8- 6       2    -7    +++    9.08
   509 H Glens Falls             5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.57
   330 H Colonie Central         3-10      -7    -9    +      2.51
   402 H Queensbury              3-10      -7    -9    +      2.58
   423 H Guilderland             5-12      -7   -14    +      3.00
   516 H Troy                   15- 5      10     6    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.58 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.42 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/