Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Jay Mauro             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1930237    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    (12- 9, 87.6)     7- 8   
 327 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 70.5)    18- 8   
 403 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 86.6)     3- 9   
 405 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 8, 95.0)     9- 8   
 406 A Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.7)     5- 6   
 409 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (22- 0, 99.9)     6-17   
 411 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.2)     8- 2   
 415 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.6)    10- 9  o
 417 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.6)    11- 1   
 419 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 89.2)     8-12   
 422 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.4)    12- 8   
 427 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 80.3)     9- 4   
 502 A Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 79.7)    13- 5   
 504 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 92.1)     8-18   
 507 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.2)    16-12   
 510 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 91.1)     9-18   
 516 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 79.0)    17- 3   
 521 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 92.1)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Archbishop Spalding     7- 8      -1    -4          n/a  
   327 H North Babylon          18- 8      10    13           0.00
   403 A West Islip              3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.54
   405 H Penfield                9- 8       1   -10          n/a  
   406 A Hauppauge               5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.49
   409 H Ward Melville           6-17     -11   -15           0.00
   411 A Middle Country          8- 2       6     5           0.01
   415 H Bay Shore              10- 9  o    1     0           1.15
   417 H William Floyd          11- 1      10    11           0.00
   419 A Smithtown East          8-12      -4    -6    +      2.07
   422 A Sachem East            12- 8       4     3           0.23
   427 H Riverhead               9- 4       5     4           0.93
   502 A Half Hollow Hills West 13- 5       8     3    ++     4.56
   504 A Smithtown West          8-18     -10    -8          -1.09
   507 H Half Hollow Hills East 16-12       4     6    -     -2.17
   510 H Northport               9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.33
   516 H Patchogue-Medford      17- 3      14     5    ++     4.55
   521 A Smithtown West          8-13      -5    -8    +      3.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Hauppauge               5- 6      -1     4    --    -5.49
   403 A West Islip              3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.54
   507 H Half Hollow Hills East 16-12       4     6    -     -2.17
   510 H Northport               9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Penfield                9- 8       1   -10    +++        
   502 A Half Hollow Hills West 13- 5       8     3    ++     4.56
   516 H Patchogue-Medford      17- 3      14     5    ++     4.55
   315 A Archbishop Spalding     7- 8      -1    -4    +          
   419 A Smithtown East          8-12      -4    -6    +      2.07
   521 A Smithtown West          8-13      -5    -8    +      3.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.78 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.89 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/