Region = VA    Colonl           
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Bill Ayres            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.1436310    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Woodbridge             VA    Card    ( 8- 7, 79.6)     5- 8   
 319 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergrn ( 4-11, 72.3)     8- 5   
 321 H Courtland              VA    Colonl  ( 2- 8, 59.7)    16- 3   
 327 H Massaponax             VA    Colonl  (10- 4, 78.9)     2- 9   
 410 A Massaponax             VA    Colonl  (10- 4, 78.9)     5-14   
 411 A Hermitage              VA    Colonl  ( 5- 8, 78.1)     5-13   
 415 A Colonial Forge         VA    Comw    (14- 2, 92.1)     0-14   
 416 H Stafford               VA    Comw    ( 2-13, 66.6)     5- 2   
 418 A Hanover HS             VA    Colonl  ( 6- 8, 84.5)    10-16   
 422 A Potomac-Dumfries       VA    Card    ( 6- 8, 74.2)     4-11   
 426 H James Monroe           VA    Comw    ( 3-10, 67.4)    12-13   
 430 A Mountain View          VA    Comw    ( 9- 6, 84.1)     5-18   
 503 A Glen Allen             VA    Colonl  ( 7- 7, 80.8)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Woodbridge              5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   319 A Liberty-Bealeton        8- 5       3    -3    +++    6.13
   321 H Courtland              16- 3      13    11           0.00
   327 H Massaponax              2- 9      -7    -7           0.91
   410 A Massaponax              5-14      -9    -9           0.78
   411 A Hermitage               5-13      -8    -8           0.91
   415 A Colonial Forge          0-14     -14   -22           0.00
   416 H Stafford                5- 2       3     4          -1.48
   418 A Hanover HS             10-16      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   422 A Potomac-Dumfries        4-11      -7    -5          -1.94
   426 H James Monroe           12-13      -1     3    --    -4.65
   430 A Mountain View           5-18     -13   -14           0.00
   503 A Glen Allen              3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H James Monroe           12-13      -1     3    --    -4.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Woodbridge              5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   319 A Liberty-Bealeton        8- 5       3    -3    +++    6.13
   418 A Hanover HS             10-16      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   503 A Glen Allen              3-11      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.10 Local Power Rank...........    52
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.68 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    55
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/