Conf =  Monroe-1                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   John Schembri         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5178833    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 97.6)     7- 9   
 328 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (13- 7, 93.3)     5- 7   
 330 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 6, 92.7)     3- 5   
 403 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  (15- 2, 92.7)     8- 9   
 405 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)     8- 9   
 411 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.2)    10- 3   
 413 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.9)    17- 5   
 416 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 84.6)    20- 9   
 425 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 89.4)    12- 4   
 427 A Penn Yan               NY C  Sec 5   (15- 5, 98.0)     1-11   
 430 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (15- 3, 99.9)    10-14   
 502 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (10- 9, 88.7)    13- 6   
 507 H Brighton               NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 81.6)    11- 5   
 509 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 4, 98.3)     7- 5   
 514 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 92.0)     9- 8   
 516 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 85.6)    14- 4   
 522 H Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 89.4)    16- 9   
 524 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (15- 3, 99.9)    10- 8   
 528 N Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 97.6)     9- 6   
 601 N Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.2)    12-11  o
 605 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 6, 92.7)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Webster Thomas          7- 9      -2    -2           0.03
   328 A Canandaigua             5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.04
   330 A West Genesee            3- 5      -2     1          n/a  
   403 A Comsewogue              8- 9      -1     1          n/a  
   405 A Sachem North            8- 9      -1    10          n/a  
   411 A Orchard Park           10- 3       7    -3          n/a  
   413 H West Seneca East       17- 5      12    13          n/a  
   416 A Rush-Henrietta         20- 9      11     9           0.23
   425 A Hilton                 12- 4       8     4    +      3.08
   427 A Penn Yan                1-11     -10    -3    ---   -6.42
   430 A Fairport               10-14      -4    -5           1.53
   502 H Victor                 13- 6       7     6           0.11
   507 H Brighton               11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   509 H Pittsford               7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.74
   514 A Irondequoit             9- 8       1     2          -1.38
   516 H Webster Schroeder      14- 4      10     9           0.03
   522 H Hilton                 16- 9       7     6           0.89
   524 N Fairport               10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.93
   528 N Webster Thomas          9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.62
   601 N Orchard Park           12-11  o    1    -3          n/a  
   605 N West Genesee            6-11      -5     2          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Sachem North            8- 9      -1    10    ---        
   427 A Penn Yan                1-11     -10    -3    ---   -6.42
   605 N West Genesee            6-11      -5     2    ---        
   507 H Brighton               11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   328 A Canandaigua             5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.04
   330 A West Genesee            3- 5      -2     1    -          
   403 A Comsewogue              8- 9      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Orchard Park           10- 3       7    -3    +++        
   524 N Fairport               10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.93
   509 H Pittsford               7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.74
   528 N Webster Thomas          9- 6       3    -2    ++     5.62
   601 N Orchard Park           12-11  o    1    -3    ++         
   425 A Hilton                 12- 4       8     4    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.97 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.25 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/