Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Chris McGee           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8474503    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (12- 9, 89.7)     9- 8   
 406 H South Windsor          CT L          ( 6-10, 79.1)     6- 3   
 409 A New Canaan             CT M          (19- 3, 97.1)     7-17   
 413 H Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 9- 8, 85.5)     9-10  o
 416 H Westhill               CT L          ( 3-13, 74.7)    13- 6   
 418 H Greenwich HS           CT L          (15- 6, 94.5)     6-11   
 420 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          (10- 8, 89.9)     5-11   
 423 A Trumbull               CT L          ( 5-11, 79.5)    10- 9   
 425 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          ( 9- 9, 88.6)     6-12   
 430 A Darien                 CT M          (12- 8, 94.7)     2-19   
 503 H New Fairfield          CT M          (15- 6, 89.9)     3-12   
 506 A Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 8- 9, 82.2)     8-11   
 509 H Danbury                CT L          ( 1-13, 70.8)    17- 7   
 511 H Wilton                 CT M          (13- 9, 93.0)     4-17   
 514 H Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 0-16, 64.7)    18- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A St Joseph-Trumbull      9- 8       1    -9    +++   10.18
   406 H South Windsor           6- 3       3     3          -0.97
   409 A New Canaan              7-17     -10   -16           0.00
   413 H Fairfield-Warde         9-10  o   -1    -2           1.46
   416 H Westhill               13- 6       7     8          -1.37
   418 H Greenwich HS            6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   420 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       5-11      -6    -9    +      3.39
   423 A Trumbull               10- 9       1     0           0.01
   425 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   6-12      -6    -5          -0.46
   430 A Darien                  2-19     -17   -14           0.00
   503 H New Fairfield           3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.15
   506 A Masuk-Monroe            8-11      -3    -1          -1.31
   509 H Danbury                17- 7      10    12           0.00
   511 H Wilton                  4-17     -13    -9          -0.02
   514 H Trinity Catholic       18- 3      15    18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H New Fairfield           3-12      -9    -6    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A St Joseph-Trumbull      9- 8       1    -9    +++   10.18
   418 H Greenwich HS            6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   420 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       5-11      -6    -9    +      3.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.78 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.92 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    53
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/