Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Schiffert       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2624512    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 94.9)     4-14   
 403 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 7-12, 81.8)     6-11   
 409 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 87.9)    15-11   
 416 A Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 83.8)    14-16   
 418 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 73.0)    13- 1   
 423 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.9)    15- 8   
 425 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 69.7)    18- 3   
 426 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.8)    20- 8   
 429 A St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (10- 9, 85.2)    12- 9   
 502 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 84.8)    10- 8   
 503 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 90.0)     9-11   
 506 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 67.8)    16- 4   
 509 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.8)    11- 7   
 511 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (17- 3, 91.8)     9-16   
 516 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.2)     4- 8   
 521 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.8)     8- 4   
 523 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 87.9)    14-13   
 528 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 94.9)     7-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Hamburg                 4-14     -10    -9          -0.46
   403 A Nichols                 6-11      -5     3    ---   -8.54
   409 H Williamsville East     15-11       4    -1    ++     5.43
   416 A Iroquois Central       14-16      -2     1    -     -3.50
   418 A West Seneca West       13- 1      12    12           0.00
   423 H West Seneca East       15- 8       7     4    +      2.43
   425 A Williamsville South    18- 3      15    15           0.00
   426 H Grand Island           20- 8      12    15           0.00
   429 A St Francis             12- 9       3     0    +      2.88
   502 H Williamsville North    10- 8       2     1           0.33
   503 A Clarence                9-11      -2    -4    +      2.64
   506 H North Tonawanda        16- 4      12    18           0.00
   509 A Sweet Home             11- 7       4     8    --    -4.54
   511 A Silver Creek            9-16      -7    -6          -0.57
   516 H Orchard Park            4- 8      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   521 H Sweet Home              8- 4       4     9    --    -5.71
   523 H Williamsville East     14-13       1    -1    +      2.43
   528 N Hamburg                 7-18     -11    -8          -1.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Nichols                 6-11      -5     3    ---   -8.54
   509 A Sweet Home             11- 7       4     8    --    -4.54
   521 H Sweet Home              8- 4       4     9    --    -5.71
   416 A Iroquois Central       14-16      -2     1    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Orchard Park            4- 8      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   409 H Williamsville East     15-11       4    -1    ++     5.43
   423 H West Seneca East       15- 8       7     4    +      2.43
   429 A St Francis             12- 9       3     0    +      2.88
   503 A Clarence                9-11      -2    -4    +      2.64
   523 H Williamsville East     14-13       1    -1    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.91 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.54 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/