Region = NC    Conf-01          
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Steve Hopkinson       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2566757    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Havelock               NC    ECLL    (11- 7, 85.7)    11- 6   
 306 A First Flight           NC    Indep   ( 2-12, 76.9)     8- 6   
 308 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 8- 8, 82.9)     8-10   
 312 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 ( 7- 8, 82.6)     7-12   
 315 A Jacksonville           NC    Conf-01 ( 5- 9, 74.8)    14- 3   
 319 A J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-01 ( 0-10, 62.3)    18- 3   
 322 H Northside              NC    Conf-01 ( 7- 7, 77.5)    20- 8   
 325 H Parrott Academy        NC    NCISAA  ( 4- 9, 71.8)    15- 2   
 327 A Havelock               NC    ECLL    (11- 7, 85.7)    14- 3   
 410 H First Flight           NC    Indep   ( 2-12, 76.9)    10- 6   
 416 H Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 8, 85.4)     7- 8   
 419 A J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-01 ( 0-10, 62.3)    19- 5   
 422 A Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 ( 5- 9, 82.1)    17-16   
 423 H Jacksonville           NC    Conf-01 ( 5- 9, 74.8)    16- 1   
 425 H Carteret LC            NC    ECLL    ( 0- 6, 69.0)    23- 2   
 426 A Northside              NC    Conf-01 ( 7- 7, 77.5)    16- 6   
 429 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 8, 85.4)    12-11   
 503 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (11- 7, 85.6)    11-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Havelock               11- 6       5     2          n/a  
   306 A First Flight            8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   308 A Wilmington Ashley       8-10      -2     4    ---   -6.80
   312 H Wilmington New Hanover  7-12      -5     5    ---  -10.57
   315 A Jacksonville           14- 3      11    12           0.00
   319 A J.H. Rose              18- 3      15    25           0.00
   322 H Northside              20- 8      12    10           0.00
   325 H Parrott Academy        15- 2      13    16          n/a  
   327 A Havelock               14- 3      11     2          n/a  
   410 H First Flight           10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   416 H Wilmington Hoggard      7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.82
   419 A J.H. Rose              19- 5      14    25           0.00
   422 A Wilmington Laney       17-16       1     5    --    -4.56
   423 H Jacksonville           16- 1      15    13           0.00
   425 H Carteret LC            23- 2      21    19          n/a  
   426 A Northside              16- 6      10    10           0.00
   429 A Wilmington Hoggard     12-11       1     2          -1.31
   503 A Durham Riverside       11-16      -5     2    ---   -7.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A First Flight            8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   308 A Wilmington Ashley       8-10      -2     4    ---   -6.80
   312 H Wilmington New Hanover  7-12      -5     5    ---  -10.57
   410 H First Flight           10- 6       4    11    ---   -6.00
   503 A Durham Riverside       11-16      -5     2    ---   -7.08
   422 A Wilmington Laney       17-16       1     5    --    -4.56
   416 H Wilmington Hoggard      7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Havelock               14- 3      11     2    +++        
   301 H Havelock               11- 6       5     2    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.92 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.16 Local SOS Rank.............    64
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/