Northern Arizona              0 - 8


 
                                     Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Pack                 Coach  =   Gordon Beyer          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   68.5796509    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 A Boulder Creek          AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 7, 75.4)     2-16   
 316 H Pinnacle               AZ 1  Div-1   (11- 2, 82.5)     1-17   
 316 H Catalina Foothills     AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 6, 76.3)     6-19   
 323 H Brophy Prep II         AZ 1  Div-1   (11- 2, 81.1)     3-15   
 330 A Hamilton               AZ 1  Div-1   (10- 4, 80.6)     3-19   
 406 H Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 2-10, 67.6)    10-13   
 413 H Boulder Creek          AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 7, 75.4)     3- 8   
 420 A Brophy Prep II         AZ 1  Div-1   (11- 2, 81.1)     4-20   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Boulder Creek           2-16     -14   -16           0.00
   316 H Pinnacle                1-17     -16   -23           0.00
   316 H Catalina Foothills      6-19     -13   -17           0.00
   323 H Brophy Prep II          3-15     -12   -21           0.00
   330 A Hamilton                3-19     -16   -21           0.00
   406 H Desert Mountain        10-13      -3    -8    ++     5.34
   413 H Boulder Creek           3- 8      -5   -16    ++     5.00
   420 A Brophy Prep II          4-20     -16   -21           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Desert Mountain        10-13      -3    -8    ++     5.34
   413 H Boulder Creek           3- 8      -5   -16    ++     5.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 59.27 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.24 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -11.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0


  
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