Conf =  Waterman                  Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Cougars              Coach  =   Paul Edwards          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0194702    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Columbia               NJ 4  North   ( 6-13, 77.8)    11-10  o
 404 H Randolph               NJ 3  North   ( 6-13, 79.2)    11-10  o
 406 A Newark Academy         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 9, 79.1)     9- 8  o
 408 A Millburn               NJ 3  North   (14- 7, 86.8)     9-14   
 409 H Hopewell Valley        NJ 2  South   (13- 7, 84.6)    11-10  o
 413 A Cranford               NJ 2  South   (12- 8, 82.7)     7- 8   
 415 A Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   (11- 8, 85.1)     8-16   
 417 A Morristown             NJ 3  North   ( 5-11, 79.1)     4- 5   
 420 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ 1  South   ( 5-13, 78.3)    10-11  o
 422 H Madison                NJ 1  North   (14- 7, 89.2)     6-13   
 424 A Bernards               NJ 1  South   (18- 5, 89.1)     3-16   
 427 H Caldwell               NJ 1  North   (14- 6, 88.6)     6-12   
 429 A Oratory Prep           NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 8, 79.7)    12- 6   
 501 H St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (13- 7, 85.5)     7- 6   
 504 H Newark Academy         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 9, 79.1)    15- 4   
 506 A Rutgers Prep           NJ    Grp-B   (19- 3, 94.8)     4-16   
 507 A Glen Ridge             NJ 1  North   (11- 8, 88.1)    10-11   
 515 A Pequannock Township    NJ 1  North   (15- 4, 84.8)    10- 9  o
 521 H Camden Catholic        NJ    Grp-B   ( 6-12, 70.0)    17- 3   
 524 A Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   (11- 8, 85.1)    12-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Columbia               11-10  o    1     2          -1.24
   404 H Randolph               11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.49
   406 A Newark Academy          9- 8  o    1     0           0.09
   408 A Millburn                9-14      -5    -6           1.83
   409 H Hopewell Valley        11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.98
   413 A Cranford                7- 8      -1    -2           1.68
   415 A Morristown Beard        8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.94
   417 A Morristown              4- 5      -1     0          -1.88
   420 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.69
   422 H Madison                 6-13      -7    -6          -0.47
   424 A Bernards                3-16     -13    -9          -0.89
   427 H Caldwell                6-12      -6    -5          -0.02
   429 A Oratory Prep           12- 6       6     0    ++     5.72
   501 H St Peter's Prep         7- 6       1    -2    +      3.80
   504 H Newark Academy         15- 4      11     3    +++    6.43
   506 A Rutgers Prep            4-16     -12   -14           0.00
   507 A Glen Ridge             10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.10
   515 A Pequannock Township    10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.79
   521 H Camden Catholic        17- 3      14    12           0.00
   524 A Morristown Beard       12-19      -7    -5          -1.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Randolph               11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.49
   415 A Morristown Beard        8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.94
   420 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Newark Academy         15- 4      11     3    +++    6.43
   507 A Glen Ridge             10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.10
   429 A Oratory Prep           12- 6       6     0    ++     5.72
   515 A Pequannock Township    10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.79
   409 H Hopewell Valley        11-10  o    1    -1    +      2.98
   501 H St Peter's Prep         7- 6       1    -2    +      3.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.33 Local Power Rank...........    76
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.91 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    94
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   119
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/