Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2  Wheel            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Russ Mooney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8762817    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Agawam                 MA 2  Valley  (14- 8, 82.9)    13- 3   
 403 A Westfield              MA 2  Wheel   (14- 6, 89.8)     5- 8   
 408 A East Longmeadow        MA 2  Valley  (14- 6, 84.8)    10- 5   
 413 H Algonquin              MA 2  MidWacA (16- 7, 94.1)     3- 4  o
 415 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2  Wheel   (13- 8, 87.4)     6-11   
 418 A Longmeadow             MA 2  Wheel   (25- 0, 99.9)     5- 7   
 419 A West Springfield       MA 2  Wheel   ( 3-16, 72.8)    12- 3   
 422 A Shrewsbury             MA 2  MidWacA (17- 6, 96.2)     8- 9  o
 425 A Cathedral Springfield  MA 2  Valley  (10-11, 77.8)    13- 3   
 429 H South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (16- 6, 91.1)     7-15   
 502 H Northampton            MA 2  Wheel   ( 9-10, 84.1)     9- 4   
 504 H Westfield              MA 2  Wheel   (14- 6, 89.8)     8- 6   
 507 H St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2  Cathlc  (18- 4, 99.9)     5- 9   
 510 H West Springfield       MA 2  Wheel   ( 3-16, 72.8)    16- 5   
 513 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2  Wheel   (13- 8, 87.4)     8- 6   
 517 H Longmeadow             MA 2  Wheel   (25- 0, 99.9)     7-17   
 520 A Northampton            MA 2  Wheel   ( 9-10, 84.1)     7- 3   
 524 A South Hadley           MA 2  Wheel   (16- 6, 91.1)     7- 6   
 530 H Cathedral Springfield  MA 2  Valley  (10-11, 77.8)    14- 3   
 601 A Mount Greylock         MA 2  Berkshr (19- 3, 93.0)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Agawam                 13- 3      10     5    ++     4.02
   403 A Westfield               5- 8      -3    -2          -0.32
   408 A East Longmeadow        10- 5       5     2    +      2.73
   413 H Algonquin               3- 4  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   415 H Amherst-Pelham          6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.47
   418 A Longmeadow              5- 7      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   419 A West Springfield       12- 3       9    14          -1.00
   422 A Shrewsbury              8- 9  o   -1    -9          n/a  
   425 A Cathedral Springfield  13- 3      10     9           0.72
   429 H South Hadley            7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.80
   502 H Northampton             9- 4       5     4           0.27
   504 H Westfield               8- 6       2     0    +      2.93
   507 H St Johns Shrewsbury     5- 9      -4   -11          n/a  
   510 H West Springfield       16- 5      11    16           0.00
   513 A Amherst-Pelham          8- 6       2     0    +      2.29
   517 H Longmeadow              7-17     -10   -11           0.00
   520 A Northampton             7- 3       4     2           1.03
   524 A South Hadley            7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.95
   530 H Cathedral Springfield  14- 3      11    11           0.00
   601 A Mount Greylock         12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Amherst-Pelham          6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.47
   429 H South Hadley            7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Longmeadow              5- 7      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   422 A Shrewsbury              8- 9  o   -1    -9    +++        
   507 H St Johns Shrewsbury     5- 9      -4   -11    +++        
   328 H Agawam                 13- 3      10     5    ++     4.02
   413 H Algonquin               3- 4  o   -1    -5    ++         
   524 A South Hadley            7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.95
   601 A Mount Greylock         12-13      -1    -5    ++     4.89
   408 A East Longmeadow        10- 5       5     2    +      2.73
   504 H Westfield               8- 6       2     0    +      2.93
   513 A Amherst-Pelham          8- 6       2     0    +      2.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.98 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.45 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/