Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Middie Bears         Coach  =   Scott Cantara         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8955231    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Millbrook HS           NY C  Sec 9   ( 8- 7, 85.5)     6- 3   
 405 H Clarkstown North       NY A  Sec 1   ( 1-15, 62.1)    10- 9   
 408 A Delaware Valley        PA    WVLL    (19- 3, 90.0)     3- 9   
 411 A Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (15- 4, 99.9)     2-10   
 413 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (13- 5, 94.8)     3-17   
 415 A Highland               NY B  Sec 9   ( 9- 7, 87.7)    11- 8   
 417 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 5-11, 81.7)    14- 4   
 420 H Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 4-12, 77.8)    12- 2   
 423 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (12- 5, 96.9)     4-13   
 425 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-13, 80.2)     7- 6   
 427 H J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 5-12, 80.7)    10- 4   
 501 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (10- 6, 92.5)     4- 9   
 504 H New Paltz              NY C  Sec 9   ( 0-14, 71.3)    13- 0   
 506 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 8- 9, 88.7)    11-15   
 509 H Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (15- 5, 97.5)     6-14   
 516 A Cornwall Central       NY B  Sec 9   (14- 3, 93.5)     8-10   
 522 A Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (13- 5, 94.8)     4-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Millbrook HS            6- 3       3     2           0.98
   405 H Clarkstown North       10- 9       1    25          n/a  
   408 A Delaware Valley         3- 9      -6    -4          n/a  
   411 A Minisink Valley         2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00
   413 A Valley Central          3-17     -14    -9          -0.58
   415 A Highland               11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.28
   417 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    14- 4      10     5    ++     4.14
   420 H Washingtonville        12- 2      10     9           0.24
   423 H Kingston                4-13      -9    -9           0.36
   425 H Newburgh Free Academy   7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.38
   427 H J.S. Burke Catholic    10- 4       6     6          -0.87
   501 A Pine Bush               4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.13
   504 H New Paltz              13- 0      13    16           0.00
   506 A Monroe-Woodbury        11-15      -4    -3          -0.74
   509 H Warwick Valley          6-14      -8    -9           1.99
   516 A Cornwall Central        8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.06
   522 A Valley Central          4-19     -15    -9          -0.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Clarkstown North       10- 9       1    25    ---        
   425 H Newburgh Free Academy   7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Cornwall Central        8-10      -2    -8    +++    6.06
   415 A Highland               11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.28
   417 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    14- 4      10     5    ++     4.14
   411 A Minisink Valley         2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00
   501 A Pine Bush               4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.47 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.85 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/