Region = VA    Colonl           
   Nickname = A Trojans              Coach  =   Greg Barnard          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.7145386    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Douglas Freeman        VA    Colonl  ( 7-10, 86.7)    12- 3   
 314 H Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   ( 9- 4, 99.9)     5- 3   
 319 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad VA 2  Tidewtr (10-11, 89.1)    11- 2   
 321 H Atlee                  VA    Colonl  (12- 3, 93.6)     8- 7   
 327 N Chantilly              VA    Concord (21- 2, 99.9)     3- 7   
 327 A Robinson               VA    Concord (13- 5, 93.3)     7- 6   
 329 A James River            VA    Colonl  ( 7- 7, 87.8)    13- 8   
 411 H Glen Allen             VA    Colonl  ( 7- 7, 80.8)    17- 4   
 412 H Deep Run               VA    Colonl  (10- 7, 90.1)     8-11   
 418 A Williamsburg LC        VA    Indep   ( 9- 4, 99.9)     3- 5   
 423 A Atlee                  VA    Colonl  (12- 3, 93.6)     6- 8   
 425 A Richmond LC            VA    Indep   ( 8- 7, 92.5)    16- 3   
 430 H Hermitage              VA    Colonl  ( 5- 8, 78.1)    17- 8   
 502 H James River            VA    Colonl  ( 7- 7, 87.8)    15- 3   
 503 A Hanover HS             VA    Colonl  ( 6- 8, 84.5)    13- 5   
 509 H Patrick Henry Ashland  VA    Colonl  ( 5- 6, 86.5)    14- 6   
 601 N Grassfield LC          VA    Beach   (20- 3, 99.8)    11- 4   
 601 N Poquoson LC            VA    Beach   ( 8- 9, 85.7)    17- 5   
 602 N Atlee                  VA    Colonl  (12- 3, 93.6)    11- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Douglas Freeman        12- 3       9     9          -0.81
   314 H Williamsburg LC         5- 3       2    -1          n/a  
   319 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 11- 2       9     6          n/a  
   321 H Atlee                   8- 7       1     4    -     -3.77
   327 N Chantilly               3- 7      -4    -2          n/a  
   327 A Robinson                7- 6       1     3          n/a  
   329 A James River            13- 8       5     8    -     -3.69
   411 H Glen Allen             17- 4      13    17           0.00
   412 H Deep Run                8-11      -3     8    ---  -11.24
   418 A Williamsburg LC         3- 5      -2    -3          n/a  
   423 A Atlee                   6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.89
   425 A Richmond LC            16- 3      13     4          n/a  
   430 H Hermitage              17- 8       9    20          -1.00
   502 H James River            15- 3      12    10           0.00
   503 A Hanover HS             13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   509 H Patrick Henry Ashland  14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   601 N Grassfield LC          11- 4       7    -2          n/a  
   601 N Poquoson LC            17- 5      12    11          n/a  
   602 N Atlee                  11- 4       7     3    +      3.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Deep Run                8-11      -3     8    ---  -11.24
   423 A Atlee                   6- 8      -2     2    --    -4.89
   321 H Atlee                   8- 7       1     4    -     -3.77
   327 A Robinson                7- 6       1     3    -          
   329 A James River            13- 8       5     8    -     -3.69
   503 A Hanover HS             13- 5       8    12    -     -2.00
   509 H Patrick Henry Ashland  14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   601 N Grassfield LC          11- 4       7    -2    +++        
   425 A Richmond LC            16- 3      13     4    ++         
   314 H Williamsburg LC         5- 3       2    -1    +          
   319 A Nansemond-Suffolk Acad 11- 2       9     6    +          
   602 N Atlee                  11- 4       7     3    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.45 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.05 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.7
/