Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Dan Helms             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.4383392    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.0)     4- 9   
 328 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 6, 83.8)     1-12   
 409 A Gowanda Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 0-12, 58.0)    14- 8   
 412 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 58.0)     8- 4   
 415 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (10- 5, 83.1)     5-18   
 418 H Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 88.4)     5-21   
 423 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 63.4)     9- 4   
 425 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 78.7)     4-17   
 426 A Bishop Kearney         NY C  Sec 5   ( 2-14, 61.6)     5- 6   
 430 A Lake Shore Central     NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 83.1)     2-16   
 502 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 77.6)     6-12   
 507 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.8)     6-11   
 509 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 67.8)     4-12   
 510 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (17- 3, 91.8)     6-19   
 511 H Medina                 NY C  Sec 6   (12- 6, 82.8)     3-16   
 514 A Wilson Central         NY C  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 63.4)     7-10   
 517 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 77.6)     0-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Lockport                4- 9      -5    -5           0.54
   328 H East Aurora             1-12     -11   -18           0.00
   409 A Gowanda Central        14- 8       6     6          -0.33
   412 H Batavia                 8- 4       4     7          n/a  
   415 H Salamanca               5-18     -13   -17           0.00
   418 H Akron                   5-21     -16   -22           0.00
   423 A Wilson Central          9- 4       5     0    ++     4.09
   425 A Eden                    4-17     -13   -14           0.00
   426 A Bishop Kearney          5- 6      -1     2          n/a  
   430 A Lake Shore Central      2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   502 H Amherst Central         6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   507 H Grand Island            6-11      -5    -5           0.27
   509 H North Tonawanda         4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.70
   510 A Silver Creek            6-19     -13   -27           0.00
   511 H Medina                  3-16     -13   -17           0.00
   514 A Wilson Central          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.91
   517 A Amherst Central         0-13     -13   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H North Tonawanda         4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.70
   412 H Batavia                 8- 4       4     7    -          
   426 A Bishop Kearney          5- 6      -1     2    -          
   514 A Wilson Central          7-10      -3     0    -     -3.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Wilson Central          9- 4       5     0    ++     4.09
   502 H Amherst Central         6-12      -6   -12    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.90 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.15 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.33 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/