Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Richard Vickroy       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7622833    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 90.7)     3- 8   
 328 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 80.7)    12- 6   
 402 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 88.6)     4-15   
 404 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (20- 4, 98.2)     6-16   
 406 H Spring Grove           PA    York 1  ( 8-10, 81.8)     7- 4   
 409 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (18- 4, 97.2)     4-10   
 411 A State College          PA    Mid 1   (13- 6, 91.4)     2- 3   
 413 A Northern York          PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 8, 85.4)    10- 8   
 416 H Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 3-13, 76.3)    11- 3   
 418 A Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 6- 8, 86.2)     8- 9  o
 420 A Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 90.3)     5-10   
 423 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 1-13, 73.6)     6- 7   
 425 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 92.3)     3-13   
 430 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 84.5)     4- 8   
 503 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3)     6-12   
 507 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 7-10, 82.9)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Trinity HS              3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.15
   328 A Cedar Crest            12- 6       6     0    +++    6.01
   402 A Palmyra                 4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.16
   404 H Hershey                 6-16     -10   -16           0.00
   406 H Spring Grove            7- 4       3     0    +      3.25
   409 A Carlisle                4-10      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   411 A State College           2- 3      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   413 A Northern York          10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.72
   416 H Mechanicsburg          11- 3       8     5    +      2.78
   418 A Chambersburg            8- 9  o   -1    -5    ++     4.49
   420 A Elizabethtown           5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.56
   423 H Central Dauphin East    6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.89
   425 A Central Dauphin         3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   430 H Cumberland Valley       4- 8      -4    -2          -1.02
   503 H Penn Manor              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.75
   507 A Bishop McDevitt         8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Central Dauphin East    6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.89
   402 A Palmyra                 4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.16
   507 A Bishop McDevitt         8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Cedar Crest            12- 6       6     0    +++    6.01
   411 A State College           2- 3      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   413 A Northern York          10- 8       2    -4    +++    6.72
   322 H Trinity HS              3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.15
   409 A Carlisle                4-10      -6   -16    ++     4.00
   418 A Chambersburg            8- 9  o   -1    -5    ++     4.49
   420 A Elizabethtown           5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.56
   406 H Spring Grove            7- 4       3     0    +      3.25
   416 H Mechanicsburg          11- 3       8     5    +      2.78
   503 H Penn Manor              6-12      -6    -9    +      3.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.13 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.31 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/