Conf =  Pooley                    Region = NJ 2  North            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Chris Blough          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.0638580    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A High Point Regional    NJ 2  North   ( 1-12, 61.0)    16- 3   
 404 H Pequannock Township    NJ 1  North   (15- 4, 84.8)     7-13   
 406 H Clifton                NJ 4  North   (13- 5, 82.5)     4-11   
 408 A Lenape Valley          NJ 1  North   (12- 7, 78.2)    13- 5   
 410 H North Hunterdon        NJ 4  North   ( 7-14, 79.8)     7- 8   
 413 A West Milford           NJ 2  North   ( 9- 9, 76.6)    10- 7   
 416 H Kittatinny Regional    NJ 1  North   ( 9- 8, 74.9)    12- 4   
 418 H Waldwick               NJ 1  North   ( 5-10, 69.6)    16- 5   
 420 A Wallkill Valley        NJ 1  North   ( 0-15, 56.2)    14- 0   
 424 H Boonton                NJ 1  North   ( 8- 8, 73.8)    10- 3   
 426 A Passaic Valley         NJ 2  North   ( 4-17, 62.0)    15- 1   
 429 A Northern Highlands     NJ 2  North   (10-10, 83.4)     5-10   
 501 A Newton                 NJ 1  North   ( 8- 9, 73.9)    14- 4   
 503 H West Milford           NJ 2  North   ( 9- 9, 76.6)    12- 7   
 508 N Wayne Valley           NJ 3  North   ( 8- 8, 81.4)    12-10   
 511 N Clifton                NJ 4  North   (13- 5, 82.5)     8- 6   
 514 H Scotch Plains Fanwood  NJ 3  North   (15- 6, 84.3)     4- 7   
 516 H Morris Hills           NJ 2  North   ( 8-11, 73.5)    11- 7   
 518 H West Milford           NJ 2  North   ( 9- 9, 76.6)    15-11   
 521 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (19- 5, 94.8)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A High Point Regional    16- 3      13    19           0.00
   404 H Pequannock Township     7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.52
   406 H Clifton                 4-11      -7     0    ---   -7.81
   408 A Lenape Valley          13- 5       8     2    ++     5.56
   410 H North Hunterdon         7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.47
   413 A West Milford           10- 7       3     4          -1.03
   416 H Kittatinny Regional    12- 4       8     8          -0.42
   418 H Waldwick               16- 5      11    13           0.00
   420 A Wallkill Valley        14- 0      14    24           0.00
   424 H Boonton                10- 3       7     9    -     -2.56
   426 A Passaic Valley         15- 1      14    18           0.00
   429 A Northern Highlands      5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.24
   501 A Newton                 14- 4      10     6    +      3.21
   503 H West Milford           12- 7       5     6          -1.69
   508 N Wayne Valley           12-10       2     0           1.41
   511 N Clifton                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.52
   514 H Scotch Plains Fanwood   4- 7      -3    -1          -1.99
   516 H Morris Hills           11- 7       4     9    --    -5.80
   518 H West Milford           15-11       4     6    -     -2.69
   521 A Chatham                 5-17     -12   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Clifton                 4-11      -7     0    ---   -7.81
   404 H Pequannock Township     7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.52
   410 H North Hunterdon         7- 8      -1     3    --    -4.47
   516 H Morris Hills           11- 7       4     9    --    -5.80
   424 H Boonton                10- 3       7     9    -     -2.56
   429 A Northern Highlands      5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.24
   518 H West Milford           15-11       4     6    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Lenape Valley          13- 5       8     2    ++     5.56
   501 A Newton                 14- 4      10     6    +      3.21
   511 N Clifton                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.52
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.99 Local Power Rank...........    70
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.16 Local SOS Rank.............   119
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    77
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/