Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Jeremy Adams          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3538666    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (20- 4, 98.2)     6-11   
 323 A Lewisburg              PA    CSNLL   (10- 7, 83.6)    13-12  o
 327 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (15- 6, 94.4)    10-15   
 402 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (21- 3, 99.9)     6-18   
 404 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-11, 85.2)     5- 8   
 406 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 88.6)    14- 8   
 409 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-15, 74.0)    16- 0   
 413 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 92.3)    10- 6   
 415 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 78.7)    13- 1   
 417 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 75.8)    18- 8   
 418 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 80.7)    11- 4   
 420 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 81.1)    10- 5   
 422 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.0)    10- 7   
 424 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 70.6)    13- 1   
 426 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3)     3-10   
 501 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 65.3)    14- 2   
 503 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 83.6)     9- 3   
 509 A Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 90.7)     8- 7   
 514 N Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (23- 3, 98.7)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Hershey                 6-11      -5    -7    +      2.55
   323 A Lewisburg              13-12  o    1     6    --    -5.27
   327 A Hempfield              10-15      -5    -4          -0.50
   402 H Manheim Township        6-18     -12    -9          -0.79
   404 H Warwick                 5- 8      -3     5    ---   -8.44
   406 A Palmyra                14- 8       6     1    ++     4.67
   409 A Garden Spot            16- 0      16    15           0.00
   413 H Central Dauphin        10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.59
   415 H Cocalico               13- 1      12    11           0.00
   417 H Conestoga Valley       18- 8      10    14           0.00
   418 A Cedar Crest            11- 4       7     9    -     -2.16
   420 H Lower Dauphin          10- 5       5     9    --    -4.56
   422 H Ephrata                10- 7       3     2           0.32
   424 H Lancaster Cou Day      13- 1      12    20           0.00
   426 A Penn Manor              3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.63
   501 A Lancaster Mennonite    14- 2      12    24           0.00
   503 A Lampeter-Strasburg      9- 3       6     6          -0.28
   509 A Trinity HS              8- 7       1     0           1.77
   514 N Wilson West Lawn        3-11      -8    -8           0.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Warwick                 5- 8      -3     5    ---   -8.44
   323 A Lewisburg              13-12  o    1     6    --    -5.27
   420 H Lower Dauphin          10- 5       5     9    --    -4.56
   426 A Penn Manor              3-10      -7    -1    --    -5.63
   418 A Cedar Crest            11- 4       7     9    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Palmyra                14- 8       6     1    ++     4.67
   413 H Central Dauphin        10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.59
   322 H Hershey                 6-11      -5    -7    +      2.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.30 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.75 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/