Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Mark Farnsworth       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.4183807    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 5-11, 76.3)    12-11 2o
 406 H Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (11- 6, 85.1)     9-10   
 409 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 7-10, 76.2)    13- 7   
 411 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-15, 57.8)    13- 1   
 416 H Waterford              CT M          ( 8-10, 77.4)    13- 1   
 418 A Stonington             CT S          (16- 5, 88.5)     8-12   
 422 H Old Saybrook           CT S          (13- 5, 82.2)     9- 6   
 423 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 5-11, 70.2)    15- 3   
 425 A Bacon Academy          CT S          (10- 8, 81.7)    12-11   
 427 A Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 92.1)     3-15   
 430 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 4-12, 68.5)    17- 3   
 502 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          (11- 8, 82.0)     5- 9   
 509 A Waterford              CT M          ( 8-10, 77.4)     6- 5   
 514 H Stonington             CT S          (16- 5, 88.5)     9-10   
 516 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 5-11, 70.2)    14- 3   
 520 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-15, 57.8)    16- 0   
 522 A East Lyme              CT M          (15- 5, 90.6)     3-10   
 529 H Valley Regional        CT S          (12- 6, 80.1)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Norwich Free Academy   12-11 2o    1     4    -     -3.96
   406 H Hall-West Hartford      9-10      -1    -1           0.34
   409 H Fitch-Groton           13- 7       6     7          -1.57
   411 A Wheeler-No Stonington  13- 1      12    23           0.00
   416 H Waterford              13- 1      12     6    +      3.60
   418 A Stonington              8-12      -4    -7    +      3.24
   422 H Old Saybrook            9- 6       3     1           1.38
   423 A Saint Bernard          15- 3      12    11           0.00
   425 A Bacon Academy          12-11       1     0           1.44
   427 A Guilford                3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   430 H Woodstock Academy      17- 3      14    15           0.00
   502 A Northwest Catholic      5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.26
   509 A Waterford               6- 5       1     3    -     -2.86
   514 H Stonington              9-10      -1    -4    +      3.71
   516 H Saint Bernard          14- 3      11    13           0.00
   520 H Wheeler-No Stonington  16- 0      16    26           0.00
   522 A East Lyme               3-10      -7    -9    +      2.37
   529 H Valley Regional         8-10      -2     3    --    -5.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 H Valley Regional         8-10      -2     3    --    -5.66
   404 A Norwich Free Academy   12-11 2o    1     4    -     -3.96
   502 A Northwest Catholic      5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.26
   509 A Waterford               6- 5       1     3    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Waterford              13- 1      12     6    +      3.60
   418 A Stonington              8-12      -4    -7    +      3.24
   514 H Stonington              9-10      -1    -4    +      3.71
   522 A East Lyme               3-10      -7    -9    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.53 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.17 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/