Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4869843    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 H Middleburg Academy     MD    MILL-W  (11- 8, 85.5)    15- 0   
 312 A Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    ( 8- 9, 86.9)    10- 5   
 315 H Hill Academy           CN    Indep   (18- 4, 99.4)     8-13   
 319 H Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    (12- 9, 87.6)    10- 5   
 322 N Penn Charter           PA    IAC     (12-13, 90.2)     5- 6   
 328 H Culver Academy Prep    IN    IndpCon (18- 2, 99.9)     6- 9   
 330 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (20- 4, 98.1)    10- 8   
 402 H Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    (12- 4, 94.8)     6-14   
 405 H Coronado               CA    City I  ( 9-11, 88.2)    12- 7   
 409 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (19- 2, 99.9)     2- 7   
 412 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     ( 9- 9, 86.4)     8- 7   
 415 A Potomac School         DC    MAC     (10-10, 87.2)    16- 6   
 420 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (17- 6, 94.0)     7- 8  o
 423 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 90.0)    16-10   
 426 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (18- 6, 94.5)     4- 2   
 429 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 91.5)     7- 2   
 503 H St Albans              DC    IAC     ( 6-10, 82.7)     8- 5   
 507 A Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 8-11, 84.1)    11- 5   
 515 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     ( 9- 9, 86.4)     6- 3   
 520 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (18- 6, 94.5)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Middleburg Academy     15- 0      15     4          n/a  
   312 A Our Lady-Good Counsel  10- 5       5     0          n/a  
   315 H Hill Academy            8-13      -5    -9          n/a  
   319 H Archbishop Spalding    10- 5       5     2    +      2.93
   322 N Penn Charter            5- 6      -1    -1          n/a  
   328 H Culver Academy Prep     6- 9      -3    -9          n/a  
   330 H Paul VI                10- 8       2    -7          n/a  
   402 H Gilman                  6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.91
   405 H Coronado               12- 7       5     1          n/a  
   409 A Gonzaga                 2- 7      -5   -13          n/a  
   412 A Bullis                  8- 7       1     1          -0.09
   415 A Potomac School         16- 6      10     0          n/a  
   420 H Georgetown Prep         7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.31
   423 H St Johns DC            16-10       6     0          n/a  
   426 H St Stephen/St Agnes     4- 2       2    -4    +++    6.85
   429 H DeMatha                 7- 2       5    -1          n/a  
   503 H St Albans               8- 5       3     6    -     -3.96
   507 A Episcopal HS           11- 5       6     3    +      2.63
   515 H Bullis                  6- 3       3     3          -0.33
   520 H St Stephen/St Agnes     5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Gilman                  6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.91
   503 H St Albans               8- 5       3     6    -     -3.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Culver Academy Prep     6- 9      -3    -9    +++        
   330 H Paul VI                10- 8       2    -7    +++        
   415 A Potomac School         16- 6      10     0    +++        
   426 H St Stephen/St Agnes     4- 2       2    -4    +++    6.85
   429 H DeMatha                 7- 2       5    -1    +++        
   309 H Middleburg Academy     15- 0      15     4    ++         
   312 A Our Lady-Good Counsel  10- 5       5     0    ++         
   315 H Hill Academy            8-13      -5    -9    ++         
   409 A Gonzaga                 2- 7      -5   -13    ++         
   423 H St Johns DC            16-10       6     0    ++         
   319 H Archbishop Spalding    10- 5       5     2    +      2.93
   405 H Coronado               12- 7       5     1    +          
   420 H Georgetown Prep         7- 8  o   -1    -4    +      3.31
   507 A Episcopal HS           11- 5       6     3    +      2.63
   520 H St Stephen/St Agnes     5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.57 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.70 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/