Conf =  Gibbs                     Region = NJ 1  North            
   Nickname = J Colts                Coach  =   Kevin Kelly           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1278229    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Millburn               NJ 3  North   (14- 7, 86.8)    11- 5   
 406 H Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (14- 5, 90.5)     6-11   
 408 A Glen Ridge             NJ 1  North   (11- 8, 88.1)     8- 9   
 410 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (18- 3, 96.2)     7- 9   
 414 H Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (12- 5, 92.7)     5-15   
 416 H Montclair              NJ 4  North   ( 9-10, 85.5)     5- 6  o
 418 A Ramapo                 NJ 2  North   ( 4-14, 79.3)    11- 8   
 420 A Allentown              NJ 2  South   (16- 5, 88.0)    10- 5   
 422 H Northern Highlands     NJ 2  North   (10-10, 83.4)    11- 3   
 427 A Mountain Lakes         NJ 1  North   (15- 6, 91.5)     6-17   
 430 H Ridgewood              NJ 3  North   (14-10, 90.3)    10- 9   
 502 H Byram Hills            NY B  Sec 1   ( 9- 8, 83.0)    12- 5   
 504 A Holmdel                NJ 1  South   ( 9- 6, 81.6)     7- 3   
 506 H Morris Knolls          NJ 4  North   (10- 8, 80.0)    16- 3   
 509 A Madison                NJ 1  North   (14- 7, 89.2)     9- 8   
 511 N Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (17- 1, 99.9)     2-10   
 514 A Madison                NJ 1  North   (14- 7, 89.2)     3- 9   
 518 H Kittatinny Regional    NJ 1  North   ( 9- 8, 74.9)    14- 1   
 521 A Glen Ridge             NJ 1  North   (11- 8, 88.1)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Millburn               11- 5       6     1    ++     4.63
   406 H Lafayette               6-11      -5    -2          n/a  
   408 A Glen Ridge              8- 9      -1    -2           1.56
   410 A Don Bosco Prep          7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   414 H Bergen Catholic         5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.54
   416 H Montclair               5- 6  o   -1     2    -     -3.68
   418 A Ramapo                 11- 8       3     6    -     -3.25
   420 A Allentown              10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.41
   422 H Northern Highlands     11- 3       8     4    +      3.21
   427 A Mountain Lakes          6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.06
   430 H Ridgewood              10- 9       1    -2    +      3.07
   502 H Byram Hills            12- 5       7     4          n/a  
   504 A Holmdel                 7- 3       4     3           0.03
   506 H Morris Knolls          16- 3      13     8           1.79
   509 A Madison                 9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.64
   511 N Delbarton               2-10      -8   -13    +      2.00
   514 A Madison                 3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.36
   518 H Kittatinny Regional    14- 1      13    13           0.00
   521 A Glen Ridge              5- 6      -1    -2           1.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Bergen Catholic         5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.54
   427 A Mountain Lakes          6-17     -11    -5    --    -4.06
   406 H Lafayette               6-11      -5    -2    -          
   416 H Montclair               5- 6  o   -1     2    -     -3.68
   418 A Ramapo                 11- 8       3     6    -     -3.25
   514 A Madison                 3- 9      -6    -3    -     -2.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Don Bosco Prep          7- 9      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   420 A Allentown              10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.41
   403 H Millburn               11- 5       6     1    ++     4.63
   509 A Madison                 9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.64
   422 H Northern Highlands     11- 3       8     4    +      3.21
   430 H Ridgewood              10- 9       1    -2    +      3.07
   502 H Byram Hills            12- 5       7     4    +          
   511 N Delbarton               2-10      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.88 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.74 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    74
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/