Region = NY LI AAA-AA           
   Nickname = Y Firebirds            Coach  =   Mike Schwalje         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9411621    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A St Anthony's           NY LI AAA-AA  (11- 5, 94.2)     5-12   
 327 A Oceanside              NY A  Sec 8   ( 8- 7, 87.8)     8-12   
 402 A Baldwin                NY A  Sec 8   ( 6- 8, 84.3)    11- 8   
 403 H Fordham Prep           NY NY AAA-AA  (13- 8, 87.3)     3- 4   
 405 A Fox Lane               NY B  Sec 1   ( 8- 9, 82.1)    18-11   
 410 A Holy Trinity           NY LI AAA-AA  ( 3-15, 76.5)    13- 2   
 412 H Iona Prep              NY NY AAA-AA  (14- 6, 88.9)    10-14   
 416 A St Dominic             NY LI A       (10- 7, 79.9)    10- 1   
 418 A St John Baptist        NY LI AAA-AA  (10- 9, 85.4)     8- 6   
 424 A Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   ( 7- 9, 83.9)    10- 8   
 430 A Chaminade              NY LI AAA-AA  (15- 2, 99.9)     3-10   
 506 A Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   (15- 3, 98.2)     6-14   
 509 A Somers                 NY B  Sec 1   (10- 9, 87.2)     8-15   
 511 H Holy Trinity           NY LI AAA-AA  ( 3-15, 76.5)    13- 5   
 514 H St Mary's              NY LI A       (11- 6, 84.0)    10- 5   
 516 H St John Baptist        NY LI AAA-AA  (10- 9, 85.4)     6- 7   
 518 H Holy Trinity           NY LI AAA-AA  ( 3-15, 76.5)    14- 5   
 523 N St John Baptist        NY LI AAA-AA  (10- 9, 85.4)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A St Anthony's            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.35
   327 A Oceanside               8-12      -4    -2          n/a  
   402 A Baldwin                11- 8       3     0          n/a  
   403 H Fordham Prep            3- 4      -1     0          -1.22
   405 A Fox Lane               18-11       7     2          n/a  
   410 A Holy Trinity           13- 2      11     8           1.72
   412 H Iona Prep              10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.60
   416 A St Dominic             10- 1       9     4    ++     4.14
   418 A St John Baptist         8- 6       2     0    +      2.58
   424 A Hicksville             10- 8       2     1          n/a  
   430 A Chaminade               3-10      -7   -15    +      3.00
   506 A Massapequa              6-14      -8   -13          n/a  
   509 A Somers                  8-15      -7    -2          n/a  
   511 H Holy Trinity           13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   514 H St Mary's              10- 5       5     3           1.44
   516 H St John Baptist         6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.13
   518 H Holy Trinity           14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   523 N St John Baptist         6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Somers                  8-15      -7    -2    --         
   412 H Iona Prep              10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.60
   511 H Holy Trinity           13- 5       8    10    -     -2.00
   516 H St John Baptist         6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.13
   523 N St John Baptist         6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Fox Lane               18-11       7     2    ++         
   416 A St Dominic             10- 1       9     4    ++     4.14
   320 A St Anthony's            5-12      -7    -9    +      2.35
   402 A Baldwin                11- 8       3     0    +          
   418 A St John Baptist         8- 6       2     0    +      2.58
   430 A Chaminade               3-10      -7   -15    +      3.00
   506 A Massapequa              6-14      -8   -13    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.17 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.81 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/