Region = NC    Conf-04          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2466888    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 N East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 3, 93.9)    14-16   
 308 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (12- 5, 90.5)     9- 8   
 314 A W.G. Enloe             NC    Conf-03 ( 3-12, 74.0)    13- 5   
 315 H J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 8- 8, 77.7)    12- 4   
 318 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 4-13, 82.5)     5- 6   
 322 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 1-13, 64.0)    17- 0   
 326 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (11- 7, 85.6)    10- 7   
 328 A Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 8, 82.4)    13- 8   
 408 H Durham Academy         NC    NCISAA  ( 8-11, 89.2)     7- 6  o
 409 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 6- 8, 75.2)    13- 1   
 411 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 8- 8, 77.7)    12- 3   
 416 A Northern Durham        NC    Conf-04 ( 1-13, 64.0)    14- 2   
 422 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (11- 7, 85.6)    10- 8   
 424 H Millbrook              NC    Conf-03 (11- 6, 86.2)    13- 7   
 426 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 6- 8, 75.2)    13- 1   
 503 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-02 (12- 6, 93.4)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 N East Chapel Hill       14-16      -2    -3           1.47
   308 A Chapel Hill             9- 8       1     0           1.26
   314 A W.G. Enloe             13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   315 H J.F. Webb              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   318 A Panther Creek           5- 6      -1     7    ---   -8.69
   322 H Northern Durham        17- 0      17    26           0.00
   326 A Durham Riverside       10- 7       3     4          -1.64
   328 A Cedar Ridge            13- 8       5     7    -     -2.81
   408 H Durham Academy          7- 6  o    1     1          n/a  
   409 H Roxboro Community Sch  13- 1      12    15           0.00
   411 A J.F. Webb              12- 3       9    12          -1.00
   416 A Northern Durham        14- 2      12    26           0.00
   422 H Durham Riverside       10- 8       2     5    -     -3.16
   424 H Millbrook              13- 7       6     4           1.42
   426 A Roxboro Community Sch  13- 1      12    15           0.00
   503 H Holly Springs           8-10      -2    -2           0.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Panther Creek           5- 6      -1     7    ---   -8.69
   314 A W.G. Enloe             13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   315 H J.F. Webb              12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   328 A Cedar Ridge            13- 8       5     7    -     -2.81
   422 H Durham Riverside       10- 8       2     5    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.48 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.49 Local SOS Rank.............    55
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/