Conf =  Rizk                      Region = NJ 2  North            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Reid            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.9318390    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Pequannock Township    NJ 1  North   (15- 4, 84.8)     2-14   
 403 A Indian Hills           NJ 2  North   ( 4-14, 74.0)     5-15   
 405 H Roxbury                NJ 3  North   ( 7- 9, 76.2)     3- 7   
 409 A Glen Rock              NJ 1  North   ( 4-14, 75.1)     3-12   
 411 H Pope John XXIII        NJ    Grp-A   ( 9- 9, 79.1)     8- 9   
 413 H Wayne Valley           NJ 3  North   ( 8- 8, 81.4)     8-12   
 416 H Montville              NJ 3  North   ( 9- 8, 82.5)     4-14   
 418 H Pascack Valley         NJ 2  North   (16- 3, 86.0)     1-10   
 420 A DePaul Catholic        NJ    Grp-B   (13- 8, 81.2)     9-10   
 422 H North Hunterdon        NJ 4  North   ( 7-14, 79.8)     2-11   
 424 A Sparta                 NJ 2  North   (19- 3, 90.6)     1-16   
 427 A Mahwah                 NJ 2  North   (13- 5, 85.0)     2-17   
 430 H Newton                 NJ 1  North   ( 8- 9, 73.9)     5- 6   
 502 A Vernon Township        NJ 3  North   (13- 7, 82.9)     3-11   
 503 A Morristown             NJ 3  North   ( 5-11, 79.1)     3- 6   
 509 H Morris Hills           NJ 2  North   ( 8-11, 73.5)     7- 5   
 511 A Fair Lawn              NJ 3  North   (15- 5, 84.4)     5- 8   
 514 A Kittatinny Regional    NJ 1  North   ( 9- 8, 74.9)     7- 9   
 516 H Wayne Hills            NJ 3  North   ( 5-11, 76.5)     7- 9   
 517 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (19- 5, 94.8)     0-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Pequannock Township     2-14     -12   -17           0.00
   403 A Indian Hills            5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.59
   405 H Roxbury                 3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.00
   409 A Glen Rock               3-12      -9    -7          -1.50
   411 H Pope John XXIII         8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.92
   413 H Wayne Valley            8-12      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   416 H Montville               4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   418 H Pascack Valley          1-10      -9   -15           1.00
   420 A DePaul Catholic         9-10      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   422 H North Hunterdon         2-11      -9    -9           0.63
   424 A Sparta                  1-16     -15   -23           0.00
   427 A Mahwah                  2-17     -15   -17           0.00
   430 H Newton                  5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.65
   502 A Vernon Township         3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
   503 A Morristown              3- 6      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   509 H Morris Hills            7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.30
   511 A Fair Lawn               5- 8      -3   -16    +++    7.00
   514 A Kittatinny Regional     7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.34
   516 H Wayne Hills             7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.25
   517 A Chatham                 0-18     -18   -27           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Indian Hills            5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Pope John XXIII         8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.92
   413 H Wayne Valley            8-12      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   420 A DePaul Catholic         9-10      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   503 A Morristown              3- 6      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   511 A Fair Lawn               5- 8      -3   -16    +++    7.00
   509 H Morris Hills            7- 5       2    -3    ++     5.30
   514 A Kittatinny Regional     7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.34
   516 H Wayne Hills             7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.25
   405 H Roxbury                 3- 7      -4    -6    +      2.00
   430 H Newton                  5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.65
   502 A Vernon Township         3-11      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.89 Local Power Rank...........   156
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.20 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............   161
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    72
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   186
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-19 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/