Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Tom Kincella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7595367    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 N St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   (10- 9, 85.2)     9-15   
 409 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 70.8)    18- 5   
 416 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.9)    16-14   
 418 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.9)    13- 8   
 419 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 6, 83.8)     7-11   
 420 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 97.6)     8-18   
 423 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 73.0)    13- 2   
 425 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.8)     6- 7   
 426 A Akron                  NY C  Sec 6   (15- 4, 88.4)    10-21   
 430 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 67.8)    17- 4   
 502 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 94.9)     8-10   
 503 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2- 9, 69.7)    18- 4   
 506 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 84.8)     9-12   
 507 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 87.9)    10- 9  o
 509 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 78.7)     9- 6   
 514 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 77.6)     9- 7   
 521 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.9)    11- 7   
 523 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 94.9)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 N St Francis              9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.62
   409 H Grand Island           18- 5      13    13           0.00
   416 H Niagara Wheatfield     16-14       2    -1    +      3.50
   418 A West Seneca East       13- 8       5     1    +      3.68
   419 A East Aurora             7-11      -4     0    -     -3.41
   420 A Webster Thomas          8-18     -10   -14          n/a  
   423 H West Seneca West       13- 2      11    11           0.00
   425 H Sweet Home              6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.63
   426 A Akron                  10-21     -11    -5    --    -4.88
   430 A North Tonawanda        17- 4      13    15           0.00
   502 H Hamburg                 8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   503 H Williamsville South    18- 4      14    14           0.00
   506 A Williamsville North     9-12      -3    -1          -1.43
   507 A Williamsville East     10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.67
   509 H Eden                    9- 6       3     5    -     -2.75
   514 H Amherst Central         9- 7       2     6    --    -4.79
   521 H West Seneca East       11- 7       4     2           1.51
   523 A Hamburg                 5-14      -9   -11           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Sweet Home              6- 7      -1     7    ---   -8.63
   326 N St Francis              9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.62
   426 A Akron                  10-21     -11    -5    --    -4.88
   514 H Amherst Central         9- 7       2     6    --    -4.79
   419 A East Aurora             7-11      -4     0    -     -3.41
   509 H Eden                    9- 6       3     5    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Hamburg                 8-10      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   507 A Williamsville East     10- 9  o    1    -4    ++     5.67
   416 H Niagara Wheatfield     16-14       2    -1    +      3.50
   418 A West Seneca East       13- 8       5     1    +      3.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.83 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.70 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/