Conf =  Pitt                      Region = NJ 4  North            
   Nickname = J Red Devils           Coach  =   Mike Vergalito        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3708038    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ 4  North   (11- 6, 92.3)     7- 6 2o
 406 A Ridgewood              NJ 3  North   (14-10, 90.3)     6- 9   
 409 H North Hunterdon        NJ 4  North   ( 7-14, 79.8)    12- 5   
 411 H Montclair              NJ 4  North   ( 9-10, 85.5)    13- 8   
 413 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (12- 9, 88.9)     8- 7   
 417 A Moorestown             NJ 3  South   (16- 3, 95.7)     4-13   
 420 A Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   ( 2-13, 79.6)     9- 5   
 424 H Montgomery             NJ 3  South   (10-11, 85.1)    16-14   
 427 H Ridge                  NJ 4  North   (20- 3, 98.0)    11-10   
 429 H Watchung Hills         NJ 4  North   (10- 8, 87.5)    10- 3   
 501 A Hillsborough           NJ 4  North   ( 9-10, 86.0)     9- 3   
 504 H Chatham                NJ 2  North   (19- 5, 94.8)     5-10   
 506 A Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   (14- 9, 83.9)     9- 7   
 510 H Lenape Valley          NJ 1  North   (12- 7, 78.2)    16- 3   
 513 H North Warren           NJ 1  North   (13- 6, 82.7)    13- 3   
 515 H Sparta                 NJ 2  North   (19- 3, 90.6)    14- 4   
 518 H East Brunswick         NJ 4  North   ( 4-11, 71.8)    17- 2   
 521 H Watchung Hills         NJ 4  North   (10- 8, 87.5)    11- 9   
 523 A Westfield              NJ 4  North   (14- 6, 93.4)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Bridgewater-Raritan     7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.32
   406 A Ridgewood               6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.69
   409 H North Hunterdon        12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   411 H Montclair              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.10
   413 H Immaculata              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.69
   417 A Moorestown              4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.28
   420 A Pingry                  9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   424 H Montgomery             16-14       2     8    ---   -6.51
   427 H Ridge                  11-10       1    -4    ++     5.38
   429 H Watchung Hills         10- 3       7     6           0.89
   501 A Hillsborough            9- 3       6     4           1.07
   504 H Chatham                 5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.80
   506 A Monroe Township         9- 7       2     7    --    -5.02
   510 H Lenape Valley          16- 3      13    15           0.00
   513 H North Warren           13- 3      10    10           0.00
   515 H Sparta                 14- 4      10     3    +++    6.97
   518 H East Brunswick         17- 2      15    21           0.00
   521 H Watchung Hills         11- 9       2     6    --    -4.11
   523 A Westfield              10-11      -1    -2           1.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Pingry                  9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   424 H Montgomery             16-14       2     8    ---   -6.51
   417 A Moorestown              4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.28
   506 A Monroe Township         9- 7       2     7    --    -5.02
   521 H Watchung Hills         11- 9       2     6    --    -4.11
   406 A Ridgewood               6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.69
   409 H North Hunterdon        12- 5       7    13    -     -3.00
   411 H Montclair              13- 8       5     8    -     -3.10
   413 H Immaculata              8- 7       1     4    -     -3.69
   504 H Chatham                 5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Sparta                 14- 4      10     3    +++    6.97
   427 H Ridge                  11-10       1    -4    ++     5.38
   403 A Bridgewater-Raritan     7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.29 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.21 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/