Conf =  Dist-I                    Region = PA    Bicentl          
   Nickname = A Firebirds            Coach  =   Ryan Tessler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8367157    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Archbishop Ryan        PA    Cathlc  (10- 7, 82.6)    15- 4   
 330 N New Hope/Solebury      PA    Bicentl ( 6-12, 78.0)    13- 0   
 402 H Council Rock North     PA    SubNat  ( 9- 6, 82.9)     8- 4   
 405 A Notre Dame-Lawrence    NJ    Grp-A   (12- 6, 86.7)     9- 5   
 408 A Montgomery             NJ 3  South   (10-11, 85.1)     8-11   
 410 A Shipley School         PA    FSL     ( 9-10, 79.5)    11- 4   
 417 H Academy New Church     PA    FSL     ( 5-13, 70.1)    17- 3   
 418 H Neshaminy              PA    SubNat  ( 8-10, 80.0)     5- 6   
 420 H Council Rock South     PA    SubNat  (13- 5, 87.0)     9- 8  o
 425 A Central Bucks South    PA    SubCont (14- 6, 89.8)     9-10  o
 427 H Central Bucks West     PA    SubCont ( 8-10, 83.2)    15- 6   
 501 A Kennett                PA    ChesMon (12- 7, 88.2)    11-10   
 502 H New Hope/Solebury      PA    Bicentl ( 6-12, 78.0)    18- 3   
 504 A Pennsbury              PA    SubNat  ( 2-16, 74.4)    12- 3   
 507 A Hatboro-Horsham        PA    SubCont (15- 4, 93.3)     7- 8   
 509 A Lansdale Catholic      PA    Cathlc  (10- 8, 82.5)    14- 7   
 511 A Springside Chestnut Hi PA    IAC     (12- 8, 89.1)    10- 7   
 514 A Avon Grove             PA    ChesMon (21- 4, 95.2)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Archbishop Ryan        15- 4      11     8           1.50
   330 N New Hope/Solebury      13- 0      13    12           0.00
   402 H Council Rock North      8- 4       4     8    --    -4.22
   405 A Notre Dame-Lawrence     9- 5       4     2          n/a  
   408 A Montgomery              8-11      -3     4          n/a  
   410 A Shipley School         11- 4       7    10          n/a  
   417 H Academy New Church     17- 3      14    20          n/a  
   418 H Neshaminy               5- 6      -1    11    ---  -11.00
   420 H Council Rock South      9- 8  o    1     4    -     -3.13
   425 A Central Bucks South     9-10  o   -1     0          -1.11
   427 H Central Bucks West     15- 6       9     7           1.05
   501 A Kennett                11-10       1     1          -0.68
   502 H New Hope/Solebury      18- 3      15    13           0.00
   504 A Pennsbury              12- 3       9    15          -1.00
   507 A Hatboro-Horsham         7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.45
   509 A Lansdale Catholic      14- 7       7     7          -0.42
   511 A Springside Chestnut Hi 10- 7       3     0          n/a  
   514 A Avon Grove              7-10      -3    -5    +      2.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Montgomery              8-11      -3     4    ---        
   418 H Neshaminy               5- 6      -1    11    ---  -11.00
   402 H Council Rock North      8- 4       4     8    --    -4.22
   410 A Shipley School         11- 4       7    10    -          
   420 H Council Rock South      9- 8  o    1     4    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Hatboro-Horsham         7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.45
   511 A Springside Chestnut Hi 10- 7       3     0    +          
   514 A Avon Grove              7-10      -3    -5    +      2.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.51 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.67 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/