Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colts                Coach  =   Nils Haugen           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7544632    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.4)     9- 6   
 330 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 69.5)    15- 8   
 403 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.2)     9- 6   
 405 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 86.6)     3- 6   
 409 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 70.5)    13-11   
 412 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (22- 0, 99.9)     4-15   
 415 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 80.3)     3-11   
 417 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 92.1)     5-10   
 419 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-17, 56.1)    20- 2   
 425 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 91.1)     6-13   
 427 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.2)     8-16   
 429 A Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 78.7)     8- 3   
 502 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)     5-13   
 504 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 77.5)    10- 3   
 507 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.6)     8- 5   
 510 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 66.0)    15- 3   
 516 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.6)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Sachem East             9- 6       3     0    +      2.04
   330 H West Babylon           15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   403 H Middle Country          9- 6       3     3          -0.18
   405 A West Islip              3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.54
   409 A North Babylon          13-11       2     8    ---   -6.52
   412 H Ward Melville           4-15     -11   -19           0.00
   415 H Riverhead               3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.99
   417 A Smithtown West          5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   419 H Brentwood              20- 2      18    24           0.00
   425 A Northport               6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
   427 A Half Hollow Hills East  8-16      -8     0    ---   -8.83
   429 A Hauppauge               8- 3       5     0    ++     4.58
   502 H Sachem North            5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.56
   504 H East Islip             10- 3       7     2    ++     4.16
   507 A William Floyd           8- 5       3     6    -     -3.45
   510 A Copiague               15- 3      12    13           0.00
   516 A Bay Shore               5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A North Babylon          13-11       2     8    ---   -6.52
   415 H Riverhead               3-11      -8     0    ---   -7.99
   427 A Half Hollow Hills East  8-16      -8     0    ---   -8.83
   502 H Sachem North            5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.56
   330 H West Babylon           15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   507 A William Floyd           8- 5       3     6    -     -3.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A West Islip              3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.54
   417 A Smithtown West          5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   429 A Hauppauge               8- 3       5     0    ++     4.58
   504 H East Islip             10- 3       7     2    ++     4.16
   516 A Bay Shore               5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.49
   325 H Sachem East             9- 6       3     0    +      2.04
   425 A Northport               6-13      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.70 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.30 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/