Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Gordie Hodgson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2505798    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Plainedge              NY B  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 81.4)    15- 9   
 325 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 89.2)     7-17   
 405 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (15- 3, 91.1)     9-13   
 409 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 78.8)     8-11   
 412 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 92.1)     5-11   
 415 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 69.5)    17- 7   
 417 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (22- 0, 99.9)     3-15   
 419 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-11, 71.0)    18- 5   
 422 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 81.7)    15-16 2o
 425 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 86.6)     5-14   
 427 H Half Hollow Hills West NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 79.7)    16- 8   
 430 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.3)     8-14   
 502 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.6)    11-15   
 504 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 70.5)    16- 5   
 507 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 83.8)    12-16   
 509 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 5, 79.0)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Plainedge              15- 9       6    -2          n/a  
   325 H Smithtown East          7-17     -10   -10           0.00
   405 A Northport               9-13      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   409 A Lindenhurst             8-11      -3    -1          -1.81
   412 H Smithtown West          5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   415 H West Babylon           17- 7      10     9           0.64
   417 A Ward Melville           3-15     -12   -22           0.00
   419 H Commack                18- 5      13     7    +      2.17
   422 A Connetquot             15-16 2o   -1    -4    +      3.11
   425 H West Islip              5-14      -9    -7          -1.26
   427 H Half Hollow Hills West 16- 8       8     0    +++    8.83
   430 H Walt Whitman            8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.59
   502 A Bay Shore              11-15      -4    -6    +      2.95
   504 H Longwood               16- 5      11     8           1.59
   507 A Sachem North           12-16      -4    -6    +      2.17
   509 A Patchogue-Medford       9-10  o   -1    -1           0.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Walt Whitman            8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Plainedge              15- 9       6    -2    +++        
   405 A Northport               9-13      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   427 H Half Hollow Hills West 16- 8       8     0    +++    8.83
   412 H Smithtown West          5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   419 H Commack                18- 5      13     7    +      2.17
   422 A Connetquot             15-16 2o   -1    -4    +      3.11
   502 A Bay Shore              11-15      -4    -6    +      2.95
   507 A Sachem North           12-16      -4    -6    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.24 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.91 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/