Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Dave Ondrusek         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5077057    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.0)     7- 8   
 327 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 90.3)    15-10   
 329 A Seneca Valley          PA    Div1-S2 ( 4-11, 86.6)     9- 6   
 330 A Mount Lebanon          PA    Div1-S1 (16- 5, 96.9)     8-13   
 402 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3)     6- 4   
 404 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 70.6)    16- 2   
 406 A Easton                 PA    LehighV (13- 5, 89.7)    13-14   
 408 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 65.3)    13- 1   
 411 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (21- 3, 99.9)     8- 9   
 416 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 75.8)    16- 3   
 418 H Southern Lehigh        PA    Indep   ( 7-11, 78.3)    15- 7   
 420 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   ( 6-11, 84.5)    15- 9   
 422 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 7-11, 80.7)    16- 3   
 424 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-11, 85.2)    14-10   
 426 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 83.6)    14- 3   
 429 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (18- 4, 97.2)     6-11   
 430 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-15, 74.0)    19- 1   
 502 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 78.7)    17- 1   
 508 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3)    12- 4   
 510 N Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (21- 3, 99.9)     7- 6  o
 514 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (20- 4, 98.2)    11-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Ephrata                 7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.78
   327 H Elizabethtown          15-10       5     4           0.50
   329 A Seneca Valley           9- 6       3     7          n/a  
   330 A Mount Lebanon           8-13      -5    -3          n/a  
   402 A Penn Manor              6- 4       2     2          -0.73
   404 A Lancaster Cou Day      16- 2      14    23           0.00
   406 A Easton                 13-14      -1     4          n/a  
   408 A Lancaster Mennonite    13- 1      12    28           0.00
   411 A Manheim Township        8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.90
   416 H Conestoga Valley       16- 3      13    19           0.00
   418 H Southern Lehigh        15- 7       8    16          n/a  
   420 H Cumberland Valley      15- 9       6    10    --    -4.00
   422 H Cedar Crest            16- 3      13    14           0.00
   424 A Warwick                14-10       4     8    --    -4.75
   426 A Lampeter-Strasburg     14- 3      11    10           0.00
   429 A Carlisle                6-11      -5    -3          -1.77
   430 H Garden Spot            19- 1      18    20           0.00
   502 H Cocalico               17- 1      16    16           0.00
   508 H Penn Manor             12- 4       8     3    ++     4.48
   510 N Manheim Township        7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.50
   514 A Hershey                11-12  o   -1    -4    +      3.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Ephrata                 7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.78
   329 A Seneca Valley           9- 6       3     7    --         
   406 A Easton                 13-14      -1     4    --         
   420 H Cumberland Valley      15- 9       6    10    --    -4.00
   424 A Warwick                14-10       4     8    --    -4.75
   418 H Southern Lehigh        15- 7       8    16    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 N Manheim Township        7- 6  o    1    -5    +++    6.50
   411 A Manheim Township        8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.90
   508 H Penn Manor             12- 4       8     3    ++     4.48
   514 A Hershey                11-12  o   -1    -4    +      3.23
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.40 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.19 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/