Conf =  Suburban                  Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Dutchmen             Coach  =   Sean McConaghy        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7556305    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 3-14, 73.0)    15- 8   
 404 N Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 75.3)    12- 3   
 409 N Christian Bros-Albany  NY A  Sec 2   (13- 5, 88.9)     8-18   
 411 H Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 4, 94.5)     7-12   
 416 A Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (21- 1, 99.9)     5-19   
 418 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 90.8)     6-12   
 420 A Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   (11- 8, 82.9)     5-11   
 422 H Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 78.9)    12- 7   
 423 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 68.6)    12- 5   
 427 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (10- 7, 79.0)    15- 9   
 430 A Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 78.9)     7- 6   
 502 A Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 79.2)    12- 6   
 506 H Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 80.3)    11- 8   
 508 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 3-14, 73.0)    13- 6   
 510 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 75.3)    11- 3   
 514 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 90.8)     4-10   
 521 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 79.2)     9- 6   
 523 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 4, 94.5)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Columbia               15- 8       7     9    -     -2.92
   404 N Bethlehem              12- 3       9     8           0.56
   409 N Christian Bros-Albany   8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.87
   411 H Shenendehowa            7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.87
   416 A Niskayuna               5-19     -14   -16           0.00
   418 H Shaker                  6-12      -6    -6           0.26
   420 A Ballston Spa            5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.06
   422 H Colonie Central        12- 7       5     5          -0.66
   423 A Schenectady            12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   427 H Queensbury             15- 9       6     5           0.41
   430 A Colonie Central         7- 6       1     3    -     -2.98
   502 A Saratoga Springs       12- 6       6     3    +      2.33
   506 H Burnt Hills            11- 8       3     4          -1.25
   508 H Columbia               13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   510 H Bethlehem              11- 3       8     9          -1.27
   514 A Shaker                  4-10      -6    -7           1.93
   521 H Saratoga Springs        9- 6       3     5    -     -2.35
   523 A Shenendehowa            7-17     -10   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Ballston Spa            5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.06
   409 N Christian Bros-Albany   8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.87
   402 A Columbia               15- 8       7     9    -     -2.92
   423 A Schenectady            12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   430 A Colonie Central         7- 6       1     3    -     -2.98
   508 H Columbia               13- 6       7    11    -     -3.00
   521 H Saratoga Springs        9- 6       3     5    -     -2.35

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Shenendehowa            7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.87
   502 A Saratoga Springs       12- 6       6     3    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.75 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.88 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/