Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4014435    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H Landon                 DC    IAC     (13- 7, 88.6)     5-10   
 316 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (14- 6, 94.6)     7-12   
 319 H Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    (10-10, 88.1)     4- 7   
 322 H Walsh Jesuit           OH 2  NoEast  ( 7-10, 77.4)    16- 7   
 328 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 90.0)     8- 9   
 330 A Catonsville            MD 43 South   ( 4- 9, 77.8)    11- 7   
 402 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (17- 6, 94.0)     7-13   
 405 H Sherwood               MD 43 West    ( 9- 6, 81.0)    18- 5   
 409 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     ( 9- 9, 86.4)     6-11   
 412 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 6-10, 80.1)    10- 2   
 413 H The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (10- 9, 83.4)    11- 4   
 416 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 9- 7, 87.8)    11- 4   
 420 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (20- 4, 98.1)     2- 9   
 424 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (19- 2, 99.9)     6-19   
 430 H Bishop McNamara        DC    WCAC    ( 5-11, 73.3)    14- 4   
 502 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 91.5)     6- 3   
 507 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 91.5)     3-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Landon                  5-10      -5     0          n/a  
   316 A St Marys Ryken          7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   319 H Mount St Joseph         4- 7      -3     0          n/a  
   322 H Walsh Jesuit           16- 7       9    11          n/a  
   328 H St Johns DC             8- 9      -1     0          -0.42
   330 A Catonsville            11- 7       4     7          n/a  
   402 A Georgetown Prep         7-13      -6    -8          n/a  
   405 H Sherwood               18- 5      13     7          n/a  
   409 A Bullis                  6-11      -5    -1          n/a  
   412 A Bishop Ireton          10- 2       8     4    +      3.85
   413 H The Heights            11- 4       7     6           0.92
   416 A Bishop O'Connell       11- 4       7    -3    +++   10.50
   420 H Paul VI                 2- 9      -7    -8           1.66
   424 A Gonzaga                 6-19     -13   -15           0.00
   430 H Bishop McNamara        14- 4      10    16           0.00
   502 H DeMatha                 6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.99
   507 A DeMatha                 3-10      -7    -7           0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Landon                  5-10      -5     0    --         
   319 H Mount St Joseph         4- 7      -3     0    -          
   330 A Catonsville            11- 7       4     7    -          
   409 A Bullis                  6-11      -5    -1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Bishop O'Connell       11- 4       7    -3    +++   10.50
   316 A St Marys Ryken          7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   502 H DeMatha                 6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.99
   402 A Georgetown Prep         7-13      -6    -8    +          
   405 H Sherwood               18- 5      13     7    +          
   412 A Bishop Ireton          10- 2       8     4    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.86 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.04 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/