Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Stack           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8806839    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 90.0)     3- 7   
 413 N Butler Area            PA    Div1-S2 ( 7- 9, 87.3)     8- 7  o
 415 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.0)    14- 1   
 417 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.2)     5-15   
 420 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 77.6)     9- 3   
 422 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 84.8)     8- 6   
 423 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 76.8)     8- 0   
 426 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.7)    12- 8   
 429 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 90.0)     6- 9   
 501 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.7)     7- 6 2o
 503 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (12- 7, 88.5)     5- 9   
 508 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-14, 71.0)    17- 0   
 510 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 81.9)    12-13  o
 513 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (17- 2, 98.2)     1-16   
 515 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (17- 3, 94.9)     4-13   
 516 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (17- 3, 91.8)    10-15   
 523 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 6, 90.0)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Clarence                3- 7      -4    -4           0.93
   413 N Butler Area             8- 7  o    1    -2          n/a  
   415 H Lockport               14- 1      13    14           0.00
   417 H Orchard Park            5-15     -10   -13           0.00
   420 A Amherst Central         9- 3       6     6          -0.26
   422 A Williamsville North     8- 6       2     0    +      2.94
   423 A Sweet Home              8- 0       8     7           0.90
   426 A Lancaster              12- 8       4     5          -1.21
   429 A Clarence                6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.09
   501 H Lancaster               7- 6 2o    1     6    --    -5.38
   503 H St Joseph Collegiate    5- 9      -4    -3          -0.51
   508 A Lockport               17- 0      17    12           0.00
   510 A West Seneca East       12-13  o   -1     1    -     -2.96
   513 A Orchard Park            1-16     -15   -14           0.00
   515 A Hamburg                 4-13      -9   -10           1.00
   516 H Silver Creek           10-15      -5    -6           1.71
   523 A Clarence                6-11      -5    -6           1.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Lancaster               7- 6 2o    1     6    --    -5.38
   510 A West Seneca East       12-13  o   -1     1    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 N Butler Area             8- 7  o    1    -2    +          
   422 A Williamsville North     8- 6       2     0    +      2.94
   429 A Clarence                6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.47 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.33 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/