Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ 4  South            
   Nickname = J Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Ferrando         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6769562    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Howell                 NJ 4  South   (11- 8, 79.6)    15- 6   
 405 A Toms River South       NJ 3  South   ( 4-10, 71.8)    14- 5   
 410 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (12- 6, 83.1)     6-10   
 413 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 4-11, 75.5)    10- 9  o
 417 A Colts Neck             NJ 3  South   (12- 7, 80.9)    14-13   
 420 H Wall Township          NJ 2  South   (11- 5, 80.5)    12- 8   
 422 H Marlboro               NJ 4  South   ( 6-11, 71.6)    10- 4   
 424 A Neptune                NJ 2  South   ( 3-13, 62.2)    14- 4   
 427 H Ocean Township         NJ 2  South   ( 4-12, 70.2)    14- 0   
 429 H Manasquan              NJ 1  South   (11- 8, 80.4)    11- 8   
 501 A Red Bank Regional      NJ 2  South   ( 8-11, 77.0)    13- 1   
 502 H Long Branch            NJ 1  South   ( 0-19, 54.9)    16- 0   
 507 H Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   (13- 5, 81.8)    14- 5   
 509 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 1  South   (18- 3, 89.2)     5-11   
 510 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-12, 71.8)    19-11   
 513 H Toms River North       NJ 4  South   ( 4-11, 70.1)    16-10   
 517 H Cherry Hill East       NJ 4  South   ( 3-14, 72.6)    10- 7   
 521 H Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   (14- 9, 83.9)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Howell                 15- 6       9     4    ++     4.95
   405 A Toms River South       14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   410 A Christian Bros          6-10      -4     0    --    -4.55
   413 A Red Bank Catholic      10- 9  o    1     8    ---   -7.22
   417 A Colts Neck             14-13       1     2          -1.80
   420 H Wall Township          12- 8       4     5          -1.88
   422 H Marlboro               10- 4       6    14    --    -4.00
   424 A Neptune                14- 4      10    21           0.00
   427 H Ocean Township         14- 0      14    16           0.00
   429 H Manasquan              11- 8       3     5    -     -2.91
   501 A Red Bank Regional      13- 1      12     6    +      3.28
   502 H Long Branch            16- 0      16    31           0.00
   507 H Shore Regional         14- 5       9     4    ++     4.42
   509 A Rumson-Fair Haven       5-11      -6    -5          -0.47
   510 A St John Vianney        19-11       8    11    -     -2.00
   513 H Toms River North       16-10       6    16    --    -4.00
   517 H Cherry Hill East       10- 7       3    13    ---   -7.00
   521 H Monroe Township        10-13      -3     2    --    -5.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Red Bank Catholic      10- 9  o    1     8    ---   -7.22
   517 H Cherry Hill East       10- 7       3    13    ---   -7.00
   410 A Christian Bros          6-10      -4     0    --    -4.55
   422 H Marlboro               10- 4       6    14    --    -4.00
   513 H Toms River North       16-10       6    16    --    -4.00
   521 H Monroe Township        10-13      -3     2    --    -5.40
   429 H Manasquan              11- 8       3     5    -     -2.91
   510 A St John Vianney        19-11       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Howell                 15- 6       9     4    ++     4.95
   507 H Shore Regional         14- 5       9     4    ++     4.42
   501 A Red Bank Regional      13- 1      12     6    +      3.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.01 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.40 Local SOS Rank.............   134
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/