Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Hicks           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.0415497    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Stonington             CT S          (16- 5, 88.5)     2-10   
 406 H Warwick Vets Mem       RI 3  Div-3   (10- 5, 74.2)     9- 7   
 409 A Ledyard                CT S          (11- 7, 82.5)     7-13   
 411 A Bacon Academy          CT S          (10- 8, 81.7)     7-18   
 413 A RHAM                   CT M          ( 6-11, 77.4)     9-10   
 416 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 5-11, 76.3)    13-10   
 418 H East Lyme              CT M          (15- 5, 90.6)     7-14   
 423 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 4-12, 68.5)    15- 9   
 425 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 5-11, 70.2)    14- 9   
 429 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 0-15, 57.8)    18- 3   
 501 A Westerly               RI 3  Div-3   ( 6- 9, 65.5)    16- 6   
 503 A Branford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 81.3)     4-18   
 507 H Bacon Academy          CT S          (10- 8, 81.7)    14-15   
 509 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 5-11, 76.3)     8-14   
 513 A East Lyme              CT M          (15- 5, 90.6)     6-13   
 516 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 4-12, 68.5)    24-15   
 524 A Branford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 81.3)    11-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Stonington              2-10      -8   -11    +      2.00
   406 H Warwick Vets Mem        9- 7       2     2          n/a  
   409 A Ledyard                 7-13      -6    -7           1.57
   411 A Bacon Academy           7-18     -11    -6    -     -3.26
   413 A RHAM                    9-10      -1    -2           1.48
   416 H Norwich Free Academy   13-10       3     1           1.81
   418 H East Lyme               7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   423 H Woodstock Academy      15- 9       6     8    -     -2.96
   425 H Saint Bernard          14- 9       5     7    -     -2.30
   429 A Wheeler-No Stonington  18- 3      15    17           0.00
   501 A Westerly               16- 6      10     9          n/a  
   503 A Branford                4-18     -14    -6    -     -3.68
   507 H Bacon Academy          14-15      -1    -4    +      3.20
   509 A Norwich Free Academy    8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.66
   513 A East Lyme               6-13      -7   -15    +      3.00
   516 A Woodstock Academy      24-15       9     6    +      2.58
   524 A Branford               11-18      -7    -6          -0.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Norwich Free Academy    8-14      -6    -1    --    -4.66
   411 A Bacon Academy           7-18     -11    -6    -     -3.26
   423 H Woodstock Academy      15- 9       6     8    -     -2.96
   425 H Saint Bernard          14- 9       5     7    -     -2.30
   503 A Branford                4-18     -14    -6    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Stonington              2-10      -8   -11    +      2.00
   418 H East Lyme               7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   507 H Bacon Academy          14-15      -1    -4    +      3.20
   513 A East Lyme               6-13      -7   -15    +      3.00
   516 A Woodstock Academy      24-15       9     6    +      2.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.23 Local Power Rank...........    59
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.70 Local SOS Rank.............    66
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    66
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    62
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/