Region = TX 2  NoEast           
   Nickname = X Black Bears          Coach  =   Jerry Tucker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.6516647    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 A Lovejoy                TX 3  North   ( 9- 5, 82.8)    15-10   
 209 H Edmond                 OK    Heartld ( 5-13, 79.4)    16- 5   
 210 H Edmond                 OK    Heartld ( 5-13, 79.4)    14- 8   
 212 A Prosper                TX 3  North   ( 0-12, 63.4)    20- 9   
 226 H Highland Park II       TX 2  NoEast  ( 9- 4, 92.7)     3-15   
 302 A Plano East             TX 2  NoEast  ( 4- 7, 78.7)    11- 6   
 305 H Lovejoy                TX 3  North   ( 9- 5, 82.8)    10- 9   
 308 A Colleyville            TX 2  NoWest  (10- 6, 86.7)     5- 9   
 320 A Flower Mound           TX 2  NoWest  (15- 1, 99.9)     4-20   
 321 H Hillcrest              TX 2  NoEast  ( 3-11, 79.4)    10-14   
 328 A Keller                 TX 2  NoWest  (15- 5, 92.6)     7-12   
 402 A McKinney               TX 2  NoEast  ( 8- 6, 87.9)     6-17   
 406 A Rockwall               TX 2  NoEast  ( 3- 9, 77.8)     8-12   
 409 H Greenhill              TX 2  NoWest  ( 7-11, 85.2)     9-17   
 413 H Allen                  TX 1  North   (11- 7, 90.2)     9-16   
 419 H Plano                  TX 1  North   ( 2-12, 76.2)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Lovejoy                15-10       5    -3    +++    8.20
   209 H Edmond                 16- 5      11     2          n/a  
   210 H Edmond                 14- 8       6     2          n/a  
   212 A Prosper                20- 9      11    16           0.00
   226 H Highland Park II        3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   302 A Plano East             11- 6       5     0    ++     4.10
   305 H Lovejoy                10- 9       1     0           1.75
   308 A Colleyville             5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.07
   320 A Flower Mound            4-20     -16   -20           0.00
   321 H Hillcrest              10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.71
   328 A Keller                  7-12      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   402 A McKinney                6-17     -11    -8          -1.70
   406 A Rockwall                8-12      -4     1    --    -5.85
   409 H Greenhill               9-17      -8    -3    --    -4.85
   413 H Allen                   9-16      -7    -8          n/a  
   419 H Plano                  10-13      -3     5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Hillcrest              10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.71
   419 H Plano                  10-13      -3     5    ---        
   406 A Rockwall                8-12      -4     1    --    -5.85
   409 H Greenhill               9-17      -8    -3    --    -4.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Lovejoy                15-10       5    -3    +++    8.20
   209 H Edmond                 16- 5      11     2    +++        
   302 A Plano East             11- 6       5     0    ++     4.10
   328 A Keller                  7-12      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   210 H Edmond                 14- 8       6     2    +          
   308 A Colleyville             5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.87 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.78 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/