Region = VA    Evergrn          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Eric Morrison         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1494904    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Monticello             VA    WesCent ( 9- 8, 90.3)     4-16   
 402 A Heritage-Leesburg      VA    Dulles  ( 3-12, 79.1)     9-10   
 404 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergrn ( 4-11, 72.3)    16- 8   
 405 H Monticello             VA    WesCent ( 9- 8, 90.3)     6-12   
 408 A Eastern View           VA    Evergrn ( 1-13, 68.5)     8- 2   
 411 A Brentsville            VA    Evergrn ( 5- 8, 75.2)    12- 7   
 415 H Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (11- 5, 83.8)    19- 6   
 418 A Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn ( 7- 7, 79.2)    11-12 2o
 422 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergrn ( 4-11, 72.3)    12- 4   
 425 H Eastern View           VA    Evergrn ( 1-13, 68.5)    13- 7   
 502 A Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (11- 5, 83.8)    13-12   
 506 H Kettle Run             VA    Evergrn ( 7- 7, 79.2)    11- 6   
 513 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Evergrn ( 4-11, 72.3)    15-12   
 516 H Culpeper County        VA    Evergrn (11- 5, 83.8)    11-12  o
 522 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (15- 6, 94.3)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Monticello              4-16     -12    -8          -1.76
   402 A Heritage-Leesburg       9-10      -1     2    -     -3.93
   404 H Liberty-Bealeton       16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00
   405 H Monticello              6-12      -6    -6           0.37
   408 A Eastern View            8- 2       6    13    --    -4.00
   411 A Brentsville            12- 7       5     6          -1.79
   415 H Culpeper County        19- 6      13     0    +++    9.93
   418 A Kettle Run             11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.79
   422 A Liberty-Bealeton       12- 4       8     9          -1.74
   425 H Eastern View           13- 7       6    15    --    -4.00
   502 A Culpeper County        13-12       1    -1    +      2.80
   506 H Kettle Run             11- 6       5     4           0.33
   513 H Liberty-Bealeton       15-12       3    11    ---   -7.00
   516 H Culpeper County        11-12  o   -1     0          -1.07
   522 H Dominion HS             4-14     -10   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Liberty-Bealeton       15-12       3    11    ---   -7.00
   408 A Eastern View            8- 2       6    13    --    -4.00
   425 H Eastern View           13- 7       6    15    --    -4.00
   402 A Heritage-Leesburg       9-10      -1     2    -     -3.93
   404 H Liberty-Bealeton       16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00
   418 A Kettle Run             11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Culpeper County        19- 6      13     0    +++    9.93
   502 A Culpeper County        13-12       1    -1    +      2.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.96 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.44 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/