Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Parisi          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.6564255    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Darien                 CT M          (12- 8, 94.7)     4- 7   
 411 H Greenwich HS           CT L          (15- 6, 94.5)     5- 6  o
 413 A Mount Greylock         MA 2  Berkshr (19- 3, 93.0)    10- 4   
 417 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 8-10, 84.4)     8- 7 2o
 420 H Norwalk                CT L          ( 6- 9, 81.8)    11- 5   
 423 H New Canaan             CT M          (19- 3, 97.1)     7-12   
 426 A Xavier                 CT L          (13- 6, 90.8)     5- 9   
 427 H Danbury                CT L          ( 1-13, 70.8)    15- 1   
 429 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (12- 9, 89.7)     6-10   
 501 H North Haven            CT M          ( 8- 9, 83.2)    13- 7   
 504 A Wilton                 CT M          (13- 9, 93.0)     3- 7   
 506 H Westhill               CT L          ( 3-13, 74.7)    13- 4   
 509 H Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 0-16, 64.7)    27- 2   
 512 A Trumbull               CT L          ( 5-11, 79.5)    14- 7   
 514 A Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 9- 8, 85.5)    10- 2   
 515 H Brookfield             CT S          (13- 6, 90.5)     9- 7   
 518 A Ridgefield             CT L          (17- 4, 99.3)     4-15   
 530 N Xavier                 CT L          (13- 6, 90.8)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Darien                  4- 7      -3    -3           0.51
   411 H Greenwich HS            5- 6  o   -1    -3    +      2.33
   413 A Mount Greylock         10- 4       6    -4          n/a  
   417 A Conard-West Hartford    8- 7 2o    1     4    -     -3.25
   420 H Norwalk                11- 5       6     9    -     -3.39
   423 H New Canaan              7-12      -5    -5           0.96
   426 A Xavier                  5- 9      -4    -2          -1.79
   427 H Danbury                15- 1      14    20           0.00
   429 A St Joseph-Trumbull      6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   501 H North Haven            13- 7       6     7          -1.97
   504 A Wilton                  3- 7      -4    -4           0.40
   506 H Westhill               13- 4       9    16          -1.00
   509 H Trinity Catholic       27- 2      25    26           0.00
   512 A Trumbull               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.11
   514 A Fairfield-Warde        10- 2       8     3    ++     4.88
   515 H Brookfield              9- 7       2     0           1.29
   518 A Ridgefield              4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   530 N Xavier                  6- 8      -2     0          -1.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Conard-West Hartford    8- 7 2o    1     4    -     -3.25
   420 H Norwalk                11- 5       6     9    -     -3.39
   429 A St Joseph-Trumbull      6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.94
   512 A Trumbull               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Mount Greylock         10- 4       6    -4    +++        
   514 A Fairfield-Warde        10- 2       8     3    ++     4.88
   411 H Greenwich HS            5- 6  o   -1    -3    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.90 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.15 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/