Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ 4  North            
   Nickname = J Bears                Coach  =   Rory Murray           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.4800491    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A J.P. Stevens           NJ 4  North   ( 3-13, 59.5)    13- 3   
 404 H Old Bridge             NJ 4  North   (16- 2, 86.3)     7-12   
 406 H Colts Neck             NJ 3  South   (12- 7, 80.9)     5- 6 2o
 409 A Monroe Township        NJ 4  South   (14- 9, 83.9)     3-18   
 411 H St Joseph Metuchen     NJ    Grp-A   ( 8-11, 80.9)     4- 5 2o
 413 H Hillsborough           NJ 4  North   ( 9-10, 86.0)     1- 6   
 416 A South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   ( 8- 7, 80.2)     3- 5   
 418 A North Brunswick        NJ 4  North   ( 2-14, 63.5)    15-10   
 420 H St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-12, 71.8)     8- 7   
 424 H Edison                 NJ 4  North   ( 5-11, 66.5)    10- 3   
 426 A Manasquan              NJ 1  South   (11- 8, 80.4)     6-10   
 501 A Governor Livingston    NJ 2  South   ( 4-12, 70.7)     1- 5   
 504 H Watchung Hills         NJ 4  North   (10- 8, 87.5)     0-18   
 508 A South Brunswick        NJ 4  South   ( 8- 7, 80.2)     2-15   
 518 A Hunterdon Central      NJ 4  North   (15- 4, 92.3)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A J.P. Stevens           13- 3      10    11           0.00
   404 H Old Bridge              7-12      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   406 H Colts Neck              5- 6 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.74
   409 A Monroe Township         3-18     -15   -13           0.00
   411 H St Joseph Metuchen      4- 5 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.79
   413 H Hillsborough            1- 6      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   416 A South Brunswick         3- 5      -2    -9    +++    7.74
   418 A North Brunswick        15-10       5     7    -     -2.00
   420 H St John Vianney         8- 7       1     1          -0.32
   424 H Edison                 10- 3       7     6           0.35
   426 A Manasquan               6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.95
   501 A Governor Livingston     1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.82
   504 H Watchung Hills          0-18     -18   -14           0.00
   508 A South Brunswick         2-15     -13    -9          -0.26
   518 A Hunterdon Central       2-17     -15   -21           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A North Brunswick        15-10       5     7    -     -2.00
   501 A Governor Livingston     1- 5      -4     0    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Colts Neck              5- 6 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.74
   411 H St Joseph Metuchen      4- 5 2o   -1    -7    +++    6.79
   416 A South Brunswick         3- 5      -2    -9    +++    7.74
   404 H Old Bridge              7-12      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   413 H Hillsborough            1- 6      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   426 A Manasquan               6-10      -4    -9    ++     5.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.82 Local Power Rank...........   141
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.21 Local SOS Rank.............    92
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   143
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   135
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -15.3
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