Conf =  OSHLN1                    Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstars           Coach  =   Bill Aldrich          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8973923    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 86.6)     6- 7   
 328 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.0)    16- 2   
 330 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 3-13, 75.9)    14- 1   
 401 H Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   (11- 6, 94.4)    11-10   
 406 H Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   (12- 5, 85.8)    14- 9   
 409 H Henninger              NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-11, 69.0)    11- 1   
 411 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (17- 1, 95.7)     5-11   
 416 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-12, 70.3)    10- 5   
 418 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 79.7)     4- 7   
 420 N Colonie Central        NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-11, 78.9)     4- 3  o
 426 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (15- 6, 92.7)     1-13   
 430 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 87.9)     4-12   
 502 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 76.2)     8- 1   
 507 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 6, 82.8)     6- 7   
 510 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 66.0)    15- 1   
 514 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 86.6)     4-12   
 522 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 87.9)     0-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Liverpool               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.36
   328 H Central Square         16- 2      14    17           0.00
   330 A Union-Endicott         14- 1      13     6          n/a  
   401 H Binghamton             11-10       1   -11          n/a  
   406 H Chenango Forks         14- 9       5    -2          n/a  
   409 H Henninger              11- 1      10    14           0.00
   411 H Fayetteville-Manlius    5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   416 A Rome Free Academy      10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   418 H Corcoran                4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.47
   420 N Colonie Central         4- 3  o    1     3          n/a  
   426 H West Genesee            1-13     -12    -9          -0.54
   430 H Baldwinsville           4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.34
   502 A Oswego                  8- 1       7     5           1.47
   507 H Auburn                  6- 7      -1     0          -1.43
   510 A Central Square         15- 1      14    15           0.00
   514 A Liverpool               4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.18
   522 A Baldwinsville           0-11     -11    -6    -     -3.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Corcoran                4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.47
   416 A Rome Free Academy      10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   420 N Colonie Central         4- 3  o    1     3    -          
   430 H Baldwinsville           4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.34
   514 A Liverpool               4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.18
   522 A Baldwinsville           0-11     -11    -6    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Binghamton             11-10       1   -11    +++        
   406 H Chenango Forks         14- 9       5    -2    +++        
   411 H Fayetteville-Manlius    5-11      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   327 H Liverpool               6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.36
   330 A Union-Endicott         14- 1      13     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.48 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.09 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/