Conf =  Suburban                  Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Garnet Raiders       Coach  =   Michael Joyce         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8007660    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 68.6)    10- 3   
 402 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 90.8)     4-11   
 409 H Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 75.3)     7- 8   
 411 H Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (21- 1, 99.9)     6-19   
 416 A Shenendehowa           NY A  Sec 2   (18- 4, 94.5)     3-17   
 418 H Saratoga Springs       NY A  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 79.2)     7- 9   
 420 N Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 82.5)     3- 4  o
 422 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (11- 7, 83.8)     7-12   
 424 A Burnt Hills            NY B  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 80.3)    11- 6   
 426 H Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 3-14, 73.0)    11- 1   
 430 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (11- 7, 83.8)     6- 7   
 502 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 90.8)     5-10   
 506 H Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   (11- 8, 82.9)    10-11   
 510 H Albany Academy         NY B  Sec 2   (10- 6, 80.0)    14- 9   
 514 A Bethlehem              NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 75.3)     7- 6  o
 515 A Columbia               NY A  Sec 2   ( 3-14, 73.0)     9- 4   
 521 A Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (16- 3, 90.8)     2- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Schenectady            10- 3       7     9    -     -2.51
   402 H Shaker                  4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   409 H Bethlehem               7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.45
   411 H Niskayuna               6-19     -13   -20           0.00
   416 A Shenendehowa            3-17     -14   -16           0.00
   418 H Saratoga Springs        7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.53
   420 N Cicero-North Syracuse   3- 4  o   -1    -3          n/a  
   422 A Guilderland             7-12      -5    -5           0.66
   424 A Burnt Hills            11- 6       5    -2    +++    7.24
   426 H Columbia               11- 1      10     6    +      3.23
   430 H Guilderland             6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.98
   502 A Shaker                  5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   506 H Ballston Spa           10-11      -1    -3    +      2.09
   510 H Albany Academy         14- 9       5     0    ++     5.27
   514 A Bethlehem               7- 6  o    1     2          -1.78
   515 A Columbia                9- 4       5     5          -0.10
   521 A Shaker                  2- 9      -7   -12    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Bethlehem               7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.45
   330 A Schenectady            10- 3       7     9    -     -2.51
   418 H Saratoga Springs        7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Burnt Hills            11- 6       5    -2    +++    7.24
   502 A Shaker                  5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   510 H Albany Academy         14- 9       5     0    ++     5.27
   402 H Shaker                  4-11      -7   -11    +      3.00
   420 N Cicero-North Syracuse   3- 4  o   -1    -3    +          
   426 H Columbia               11- 1      10     6    +      3.23
   430 H Guilderland             6- 7      -1    -3    +      2.98
   506 H Ballston Spa           10-11      -1    -3    +      2.09
   521 A Shaker                  2- 9      -7   -12    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.93 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.21 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/