Region = VA 1  VIC              
   Nickname = A Seahorses            Coach  =   Vince Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.5174179    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 N Rockhurst Jesuit       KS    LAKC    (15- 5, 96.2)    17- 7   
 309 N Ravenscroft School     NC    NCISAA  (12- 5, 95.9)    16- 9   
 313 A Calverton              MD    MILL-E  (10- 6, 90.1)    15- 9   
 315 H Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (13- 8, 89.7)    13-11   
 322 H Middleburg Academy     MD    MILL-W  (11- 8, 85.5)    18- 6   
 323 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (14- 6, 94.6)    19-15   
 326 H Norfolk Academy        VA 1  Tidewtr (12-10, 92.4)    13-12   
 328 H Trinity Episcopal      VA 1  Indep   ( 8- 6, 86.7)    22- 5   
 402 A Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     (13- 5, 96.3)    13-14  o
 412 H St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     (11- 7, 96.9)    13-12   
 416 A St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (12- 6, 95.1)    15-13   
 419 H Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr ( 6-10, 83.5)    16- 4   
 423 H Douglas Freeman        VA    Colonl  ( 7-10, 86.7)    15- 4   
 426 A Cape Henry Collegiate  VA 1  Tidewtr (10- 9, 91.8)    19- 6   
 430 A Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     ( 9-11, 89.8)    11-12  o
 502 A Potomac School         DC    MAC     (10-10, 87.2)    10- 7   
 507 H Fork Union Mil Academy VA 1  Tidewtr ( 2- 7, 73.9)    26- 2   
 514 H Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 8-11, 84.1)    14- 6   
 517 N Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (20- 4, 98.1)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 N Rockhurst Jesuit       17- 7      10     3          n/a  
   309 N Ravenscroft School     16- 9       7     4          n/a  
   313 A Calverton              15- 9       6     7          n/a  
   315 H Flint Hill             13-11       2    12          n/a  
   322 H Middleburg Academy     18- 6      12    16          n/a  
   323 H St Marys Ryken         19-15       4     7          n/a  
   326 H Norfolk Academy        13-12       1     8    ---   -7.65
   328 H Trinity Episcopal      22- 5      17    14           0.00
   402 A Woodberry Forest       13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.45
   412 H St Anne's-Belfield     13-12       1     4    -     -3.11
   416 A St Christopher's       15-13       2     3          -1.66
   419 H Bishop Sullivan        16- 4      12    17           0.00
   423 H Douglas Freeman        15- 4      11    14          n/a  
   426 A Cape Henry Collegiate  19- 6      13     6    +      3.02
   430 A Collegiate School      11-12  o   -1     8    ---   -9.90
   502 A Potomac School         10- 7       3    10          n/a  
   507 H Fork Union Mil Academy 26- 2      24    27           0.00
   514 H Episcopal HS           14- 6       8    16          n/a  
   517 N Paul VI                11-12      -1     1          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Flint Hill             13-11       2    12    ---        
   326 H Norfolk Academy        13-12       1     8    ---   -7.65
   430 A Collegiate School      11-12  o   -1     8    ---   -9.90
   502 A Potomac School         10- 7       3    10    ---        
   323 H St Marys Ryken         19-15       4     7    -          
   402 A Woodberry Forest       13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.45
   412 H St Anne's-Belfield     13-12       1     4    -     -3.11
   514 H Episcopal HS           14- 6       8    16    -          
   517 N Paul VI                11-12      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 N Rockhurst Jesuit       17- 7      10     3    +++        
   309 N Ravenscroft School     16- 9       7     4    +          
   426 A Cape Henry Collegiate  19- 6      13     6    +      3.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.96 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   26.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.3
/