Conf =  OSHL2                     Region = NY C  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Curt Kielbasa         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.9703979    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A New Hartford           NY C  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 74.9)    11- 9   
 404 H Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   (12- 6, 83.6)     5-12   
 406 A Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 77.2)     7- 9   
 409 H Tully                  NY C  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 80.0)    12- 5   
 413 H Manlius-Pebble Hill    NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-11, 66.0)    19- 2   
 416 A Bishop Ludden          NY C  Sec 3   ( 1-15, 65.5)    17- 6   
 418 H Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (14- 5, 90.5)    10-12   
 423 A Onondaga Central       NY C  Sec 3   ( 4-11, 72.5)    15- 9   
 425 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 80.9)    11-17   
 427 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   (12- 6, 83.6)    15-11   
 501 A Skaneateles            NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 84.6)    10-11   
 503 H ChristianBros-Syracuse NY C  Sec 3   (13- 5, 90.3)    15-23   
 507 H Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (12- 6, 88.2)     4-18   
 509 A Cazenovia Central      NY C  Sec 3   (22- 2, 95.8)    10-18   
 511 H New Hartford           NY C  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 74.9)    11- 8   
 514 H Westhill               NY C  Sec 3   (14- 3, 89.7)     8-12   
 516 A Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (12- 6, 88.2)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A New Hartford           11- 9       2     3          -1.84
   404 H Cortland                5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.62
   406 A Whitesboro              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.61
   409 H Tully                  12- 5       7     0    +++    6.78
   413 H Manlius-Pebble Hill    19- 2      17    14           0.00
   416 A Bishop Ludden          17- 6      11    13           0.00
   418 H Lafayette              10-12      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   423 A Onondaga Central       15- 9       6     6          -0.31
   425 A Jordan-Elbridge        11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.84
   427 A Cortland               15-11       4    -4    +++    8.84
   501 A Skaneateles            10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.79
   503 H ChristianBros-Syracuse 15-23      -8   -10    +      2.00
   507 H Marcellus               4-18     -14    -7    -     -2.01
   509 A Cazenovia Central      10-18      -8   -17    +      2.00
   511 H New Hartford           11- 8       3     5    -     -2.30
   514 H Westhill                8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.52
   516 A Marcellus               4-12      -8    -9           1.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Cortland                5-12      -7    -3    -     -3.62
   406 A Whitesboro              7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.61
   425 A Jordan-Elbridge        11-17      -6    -2    -     -3.84
   507 H Marcellus               4-18     -14    -7    -     -2.01
   511 H New Hartford           11- 8       3     5    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Tully                  12- 5       7     0    +++    6.78
   418 H Lafayette              10-12      -2   -10    +++    8.00
   427 A Cortland               15-11       4    -4    +++    8.84
   501 A Skaneateles            10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.79
   514 H Westhill                8-12      -4    -9    ++     5.52
   503 H ChristianBros-Syracuse 15-23      -8   -10    +      2.00
   509 A Cazenovia Central      10-18      -8   -17    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.49 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.28 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/