Region = NY C  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Dave Pavlick          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2969894    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Chenango Valley        NY C  Sec 4   ( 8- 9, 80.9)     9- 2   
 403 A Elmira-Notre Dame      NY C  Sec 4   ( 3-13, 68.5)    16- 4   
 405 A Oneonta                NY C  Sec 4   ( 0-13, 67.3)    17- 7   
 406 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 8, 82.5)     9-14   
 412 H Dryden                 NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 79.4)    11- 6   
 416 A Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   (11- 7, 85.2)     9-12   
 419 A Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   (18- 1, 93.8)     5-11   
 423 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 77.4)    12- 7   
 425 A Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 6-10, 80.2)    16-10   
 430 A Dryden                 NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 79.4)    11- 5   
 503 A Elmira-Notre Dame      NY C  Sec 4   ( 3-13, 68.5)    16- 3   
 507 A Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 77.4)    14-10   
 509 H Whitney Point          NY C  Sec 4   (11- 7, 85.2)    10- 9   
 511 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (15- 3, 99.9)     2-21   
 515 H Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   (13- 6, 89.3)     7- 6 3o
 521 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 7-10, 77.4)    12- 5   
 523 H Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   (13- 6, 89.3)     1-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Chenango Valley         9- 2       7     5           1.74
   403 A Elmira-Notre Dame      16- 4      12    16           0.00
   405 A Oneonta                17- 7      10    18           0.00
   406 A Cicero-North Syracuse   9-14      -5     2          n/a  
   412 H Dryden                 11- 6       5     6          -1.78
   416 A Whitney Point           9-12      -3     0    -     -3.21
   419 A Johnson City            5-11      -6    -8    +      2.39
   423 H Seton Catholic Central 12- 7       5     8    -     -3.78
   425 A Owego Free Academy     16-10       6     5           0.75
   430 A Dryden                 11- 5       6     6          -0.02
   503 A Elmira-Notre Dame      16- 3      13    16           0.00
   507 A Seton Catholic Central 14-10       4     8    --    -4.02
   509 H Whitney Point          10- 9       1     0           0.04
   511 A Ithaca                  2-21     -19   -14           0.00
   515 H Maine-Endwell           7- 6 3o    1    -3    ++     4.09
   521 H Seton Catholic Central 12- 5       7     8          -1.78
   523 H Maine-Endwell           1-11     -10    -3    ---   -6.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Cicero-North Syracuse   9-14      -5     2    ---        
   523 H Maine-Endwell           1-11     -10    -3    ---   -6.91
   507 A Seton Catholic Central 14-10       4     8    --    -4.02
   416 A Whitney Point           9-12      -3     0    -     -3.21
   423 H Seton Catholic Central 12- 7       5     8    -     -3.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Maine-Endwell           7- 6 3o    1    -3    ++     4.09
   419 A Johnson City            5-11      -6    -8    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.81 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.80 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/