Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Austin Hayes          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.9179764    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 7-10, 82.9)    13-11   
 326 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (21- 3, 99.9)     4-14   
 327 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-15, 74.0)    10- 5   
 328 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 81.1)     6-12   
 401 A Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 3-13, 76.3)    10- 9   
 403 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-12, 78.7)     8- 6   
 404 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-17, 65.3)    16- 1   
 408 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (15- 6, 91.3)     6-17   
 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 83.6)     9-11   
 413 H Trinity HS             PA    Mid 1   (12- 6, 90.7)     6-13   
 416 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 70.6)    10- 6   
 418 H Elizabethtown          PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 90.3)     4-11   
 419 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   (11- 7, 88.6)     4-16   
 422 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (15- 6, 94.4)     3-16   
 424 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 88.0)     4-10   
 427 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (13- 5, 92.3)     6-12   
 501 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb ( 8-11, 85.2)     1-10   
 502 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 75.8)    17- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Bishop McDevitt        13-11       2    -1    +      3.78
   326 H Manheim Township        4-14     -10   -18           0.00
   327 H Garden Spot            10- 5       5     7    -     -2.12
   328 H Lower Dauphin           6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.01
   401 A Mechanicsburg          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.04
   403 A Cocalico                8- 6       2     1           0.38
   404 A Lancaster Mennonite    16- 1      15    15           0.00
   408 H Penn Manor              6-17     -11   -10           0.00
   411 H Lampeter-Strasburg      9-11      -2    -2           0.48
   413 H Trinity HS              6-13      -7    -9    +      2.53
   416 A Lancaster Cou Day      10- 6       4     9    --    -5.73
   418 H Elizabethtown           4-11      -7    -9    +      2.16
   419 A Palmyra                 4-16     -12    -8          -1.78
   422 A Hempfield               3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   424 H Ephrata                 4-10      -6    -6           0.87
   427 A Central Dauphin         6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   501 A Warwick                 1-10      -9    -4    --    -4.10
   502 A Conestoga Valley       17- 3      14     4    ++     5.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Lower Dauphin           6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.01
   416 A Lancaster Cou Day      10- 6       4     9    --    -5.73
   501 A Warwick                 1-10      -9    -4    --    -4.10
   327 H Garden Spot            10- 5       5     7    -     -2.12
   401 A Mechanicsburg          10- 9       1     4    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Central Dauphin         6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   502 A Conestoga Valley       17- 3      14     4    ++     5.42
   322 H Bishop McDevitt        13-11       2    -1    +      3.78
   413 H Trinity HS              6-13      -7    -9    +      2.53
   418 H Elizabethtown           4-11      -7    -9    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.74 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.68 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/