Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Red Wolves           Coach  =   Pat Kavanaugh         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6763611    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 A Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-13, 70.7)    17- 2   
 311 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (11- 7, 85.6)    13-16   
 313 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (12- 5, 90.5)     6-12   
 315 A Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 ( 6-10, 76.7)     7- 6   
 319 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 1-13, 68.6)    17- 1   
 320 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 3, 93.9)     4- 9   
 321 A Eastern Alamance       NC    Conf-06 (13- 4, 81.0)    11- 9   
 326 H Dakota Ridge           CO 5A FRange  ( 8- 7, 84.1)    11-10  o
 328 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-04 (13- 3, 90.5)     8-13   
 409 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (12- 5, 90.5)     8-15   
 412 H Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-13, 70.7)    18- 3   
 416 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 1-13, 68.6)    20- 7   
 423 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-05 ( 6-10, 76.7)     8- 9   
 426 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 8- 8, 77.7)     8- 6   
 430 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 3, 93.9)     6-20   
 503 A Needham-Broughton      NC    Conf-03 (16- 3, 91.8)     9-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Northwood              17- 2      15    11           0.00
   311 A Durham Riverside       13-16      -3    -3           0.43
   313 A Chapel Hill             6-12      -6    -8    +      2.34
   315 A Carrboro                7- 6       1     5    --    -4.41
   319 A Hillsborough Orange    17- 1      16    13           0.00
   320 H East Chapel Hill        4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   321 A Eastern Alamance       11- 9       2     1           0.90
   326 H Dakota Ridge           11-10  o    1    -1          n/a  
   328 H Durham Jordan           8-13      -5    -7    +      2.81
   409 H Chapel Hill             8-15      -7    -7           0.82
   412 H Northwood              18- 3      15    11           0.00
   416 H Hillsborough Orange    20- 7      13    14           0.00
   423 H Carrboro                8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.93
   426 A J.F. Webb               8- 6       2     4    -     -2.50
   430 A East Chapel Hill        6-20     -14   -11           0.00
   503 A Needham-Broughton       9-18      -9    -9           0.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Carrboro                8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.93
   315 A Carrboro                7- 6       1     5    --    -4.41
   426 A J.F. Webb               8- 6       2     4    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H East Chapel Hill        4- 9      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   313 A Chapel Hill             6-12      -6    -8    +      2.34
   326 H Dakota Ridge           11-10  o    1    -1    +          
   328 H Durham Jordan           8-13      -5    -7    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.41 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.22 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/