Region = NC    NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Knights              Coach  =   Don Thomas            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.0151901    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Kerr-Vance Academy     NC    NCISAA  ( 5- 8, 78.4)     4- 5   
 319 A Greensboro Day         NC    NCISAA  (11- 9, 88.2)     1-14   
 322 N Christ School          NC    NCISAA  (13- 4, 96.0)     3-12   
 323 A Cape Fear Academy      NC    NCISAA  (14- 6, 91.2)     4-17   
 323 N Kiski Prep             PA    Indep   (21- 4, 97.5)     8-12   
 326 H Cary Academy           NC    NCISAA  (10- 8, 85.9)     7-10   
 328 A Parrott Academy        NC    NCISAA  ( 4- 9, 71.8)     8- 1   
 405 H Epiphany School        NC    NCISAA  ( 0-11, 68.0)    14- 1   
 409 A Cary Academy           NC    NCISAA  (10- 8, 85.9)     9-12   
 410 H Kerr-Vance Academy     NC    NCISAA  ( 5- 8, 78.4)    10- 9   
 415 H Wesleyan Christian     NC    NCISAA  ( 0-13, 63.8)    11- 0   
 417 H Parrott Academy        NC    NCISAA  ( 4- 9, 71.8)    15- 2   
 419 A Epiphany School        NC    NCISAA  ( 0-11, 68.0)    17- 1   
 422 A Wesleyan Christian     NC    NCISAA  ( 0-13, 63.8)    16- 0   
 423 H Cape Fear Academy      NC    NCISAA  (14- 6, 91.2)    11-12  o
 424 A J.F. Webb              NC    Conf-04 ( 8- 8, 77.7)     2- 3   
 426 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC    NCISAA  (12- 4, 91.9)     6-11   
 427 N Davidson Day           NC    NCISAA  ( 9- 7, 86.3)     7-13   
 430 A Village Christian      NC    NCISAA  ( 2- 7, 73.3)    13- 7   
 501 A Durham Academy         NC    NCISAA  ( 8-11, 89.2)     6-16   
 507 H Ravenscroft School     NC    NCISAA  (12- 5, 95.9)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Kerr-Vance Academy      4- 5      -1     0          -1.66
   319 A Greensboro Day          1-14     -13    -9          -0.81
   322 N Christ School           3-12      -9   -15           1.00
   323 A Cape Fear Academy       4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   323 N Kiski Prep              8-12      -4   -17          n/a  
   326 H Cary Academy            7-10      -3    -4           1.85
   328 A Parrott Academy         8- 1       7     7          -0.29
   405 H Epiphany School        14- 1      13    13           0.00
   409 A Cary Academy            9-12      -3    -6    +      3.82
   410 H Kerr-Vance Academy     10- 9       1     2          -1.62
   415 H Wesleyan Christian     11- 0      11    17           0.00
   417 H Parrott Academy        15- 2      13     9           0.74
   419 A Epiphany School        17- 1      16    11           0.00
   422 A Wesleyan Christian     16- 0      16    15           0.00
   423 H Cape Fear Academy      11-12  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   424 A J.F. Webb               2- 3      -1     1          n/a  
   426 H Forsyth Cou Day         6-11      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   427 N Davidson Day            7-13      -6    -6           0.25
   430 A Village Christian      13- 7       6     5           0.20
   501 A Durham Academy          6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   507 H Ravenscroft School      5-16     -11   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A J.F. Webb               2- 3      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 N Kiski Prep              8-12      -4   -17    +++        
   423 H Cape Fear Academy      11-12  o   -1   -10    +++    9.00
   426 H Forsyth Cou Day         6-11      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   409 A Cary Academy            9-12      -3    -6    +      3.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.05 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.13 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/