Region = KY 2 North Nickname = Y Colonels Coach = Bill MathisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.3477936 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 316 A Scott County KY 2 North ( 2- 9, 65.6) 12- 5 322 A Lafayette KY 2 North (12- 4, 78.2) 7- 3 326 H Northern Kentucky LC KY 2 North ( 8-10, 74.2) 12- 7 406 H Miami Valley OH 2 SoWest ( 4-14, 67.9) 9- 5 408 H Lexington Tates Creek KY 2 South (13- 6, 78.6) 10-12 410 H Kentucky Country Day KY 1 KSLL ( 7-10, 76.0) 4- 6 412 A North Oldham KY 1 KSLL ( 9- 7, 78.8) 5-13 417 A Bishop Fenwick OH 2 SoWest (10- 5, 84.2) 11-18 418 A Lexington Dunbar KY 2 North (14- 4, 82.6) 6-12 420 A Lexington Christian KY 2 North ( 0- 9, 60.8) 12- 2 423 A Louisville Eastern KY 1 KSLL ( 4-11, 73.8) 6-12 424 H Lexington Catholic KY 2 North (16- 7, 82.7) 2- 9 427 H South Oldham KY 1 KSLL ( 9- 7, 80.9) 5- 6 502 A Dixie Heights KY 2 North ( 0-10, 63.2) 15- 3 503 A Lexington Sayre KY 2 South ( 9-10, 74.2) 12-13 509 H Dixie Heights KY 2 North ( 0-10, 63.2) 14- 5 511 A Lexington Catholic KY 2 North (16- 7, 82.7) 6-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Scott County 12- 5 7 9 - -2.24 322 A Lafayette 7- 3 4 -3 +++ 7.39 326 H Northern Kentucky LC 12- 7 5 1 + 3.87 406 H Miami Valley 9- 5 4 8 n/a 408 H Lexington Tates Creek 10-12 -2 -3 1.31 410 H Kentucky Country Day 4- 6 -2 0 -1.35 412 A North Oldham 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.01 417 A Bishop Fenwick 11-18 -7 -9 n/a 418 A Lexington Dunbar 6-12 -6 -7 1.73 420 A Lexington Christian 12- 2 10 14 0.00 423 A Louisville Eastern 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.08 424 H Lexington Catholic 2- 9 -7 -7 0.41 427 H South Oldham 5- 6 -1 -5 ++ 4.63 502 A Dixie Heights 15- 3 12 11 0.00 503 A Lexington Sayre 12-13 -1 0 -1.63 509 H Dixie Heights 14- 5 9 12 -1.00 511 A Lexington Catholic 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.88UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Louisville Eastern 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.08 406 H Miami Valley 9- 5 4 8 -- 412 A North Oldham 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.01 316 A Scott County 12- 5 7 9 - -2.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Lafayette 7- 3 4 -3 +++ 7.39 427 H South Oldham 5- 6 -1 -5 ++ 4.63 326 H Northern Kentucky LC 12- 7 5 1 + 3.87 417 A Bishop Fenwick 11-18 -7 -9 + 511 A Lexington Catholic 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.88/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.07 Local Power Rank........... 16 Local SOS Rating......... 48.90 Local SOS Rank............. 19 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 20 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 18 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0