Region = KY 2  North            
   Nickname = Y Colonels             Coach  =   Bill Mathis           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.3477936    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Scott County           KY 2  North   ( 2- 9, 65.6)    12- 5   
 322 A Lafayette              KY 2  North   (12- 4, 78.2)     7- 3   
 326 H Northern Kentucky LC   KY 2  North   ( 8-10, 74.2)    12- 7   
 406 H Miami Valley           OH 2  SoWest  ( 4-14, 67.9)     9- 5   
 408 H Lexington Tates Creek  KY 2  South   (13- 6, 78.6)    10-12   
 410 H Kentucky Country Day   KY 1  KSLL    ( 7-10, 76.0)     4- 6   
 412 A North Oldham           KY 1  KSLL    ( 9- 7, 78.8)     5-13   
 417 A Bishop Fenwick         OH 2  SoWest  (10- 5, 84.2)    11-18   
 418 A Lexington Dunbar       KY 2  North   (14- 4, 82.6)     6-12   
 420 A Lexington Christian    KY 2  North   ( 0- 9, 60.8)    12- 2   
 423 A Louisville Eastern     KY 1  KSLL    ( 4-11, 73.8)     6-12   
 424 H Lexington Catholic     KY 2  North   (16- 7, 82.7)     2- 9   
 427 H South Oldham           KY 1  KSLL    ( 9- 7, 80.9)     5- 6   
 502 A Dixie Heights          KY 2  North   ( 0-10, 63.2)    15- 3   
 503 A Lexington Sayre        KY 2  South   ( 9-10, 74.2)    12-13   
 509 H Dixie Heights          KY 2  North   ( 0-10, 63.2)    14- 5   
 511 A Lexington Catholic     KY 2  North   (16- 7, 82.7)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Scott County           12- 5       7     9    -     -2.24
   322 A Lafayette               7- 3       4    -3    +++    7.39
   326 H Northern Kentucky LC   12- 7       5     1    +      3.87
   406 H Miami Valley            9- 5       4     8          n/a  
   408 H Lexington Tates Creek  10-12      -2    -3           1.31
   410 H Kentucky Country Day    4- 6      -2     0          -1.35
   412 A North Oldham            5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.01
   417 A Bishop Fenwick         11-18      -7    -9          n/a  
   418 A Lexington Dunbar        6-12      -6    -7           1.73
   420 A Lexington Christian    12- 2      10    14           0.00
   423 A Louisville Eastern      6-12      -6     1    ---   -7.08
   424 H Lexington Catholic      2- 9      -7    -7           0.41
   427 H South Oldham            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.63
   502 A Dixie Heights          15- 3      12    11           0.00
   503 A Lexington Sayre        12-13      -1     0          -1.63
   509 H Dixie Heights          14- 5       9    12          -1.00
   511 A Lexington Catholic      6-11      -5    -7    +      2.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Louisville Eastern      6-12      -6     1    ---   -7.08
   406 H Miami Valley            9- 5       4     8    --         
   412 A North Oldham            5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.01
   316 A Scott County           12- 5       7     9    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Lafayette               7- 3       4    -3    +++    7.39
   427 H South Oldham            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.63
   326 H Northern Kentucky LC   12- 7       5     1    +      3.87
   417 A Bishop Fenwick         11-18      -7    -9    +          
   511 A Lexington Catholic      6-11      -5    -7    +      2.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.07 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.90 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/