Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Ron Mitchell          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.5950317    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-02 ( 4-13, 82.5)     1-10   
 302 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 8- 8, 82.9)     3-12   
 307 A Cary Academy           NC    NCISAA  (10- 8, 85.9)     1-13   
 308 A Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 1-13, 68.6)     9- 5   
 313 A Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 6- 8, 75.2)     7- 8  o
 315 H Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 8, 82.4)     6- 7   
 319 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 3, 93.9)     2-12   
 321 H Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-04 (11- 7, 85.6)     3-15   
 322 H Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (12- 5, 90.5)     3-16   
 408 H Roxboro Community Sch  NC    Conf-04 ( 6- 8, 75.2)     7- 3   
 409 A Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-13, 70.7)    15- 7   
 412 H Hillsborough Orange    NC    Conf-05 ( 1-13, 68.6)    12- 4   
 416 H East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (16- 3, 93.9)     2-17   
 418 H Northwood              NC    Conf-05 ( 3-13, 70.7)    13- 4   
 423 A Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 8, 82.4)     9- 8   
 426 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-05 (12- 5, 90.5)     1- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Panther Creek           1-10      -9    -6    -     -2.95
   302 H Wilmington Ashley       3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.14
   307 A Cary Academy            1-13     -12    -9          n/a  
   308 A Hillsborough Orange     9- 5       4     7    -     -3.86
   313 A Roxboro Community Sch   7- 8  o   -1     1    -     -2.31
   315 H Cedar Ridge             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.41
   319 A East Chapel Hill        2-12     -10   -17           0.00
   321 H Durham Riverside        3-15     -12    -8          -1.42
   322 H Chapel Hill             3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   408 H Roxboro Community Sch   7- 3       4     1    +      2.17
   409 A Northwood              15- 7       8     5    +      2.21
   412 H Hillsborough Orange    12- 4       8     8          -0.38
   416 H East Chapel Hill        2-17     -15   -16           0.00
   418 H Northwood              13- 4       9     6    +      2.69
   423 A Cedar Ridge             9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.93
   426 A Chapel Hill             1- 8      -7   -14    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Panther Creek           1-10      -9    -6    -     -2.95
   302 H Wilmington Ashley       3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.14
   308 A Hillsborough Orange     9- 5       4     7    -     -3.86
   313 A Roxboro Community Sch   7- 8  o   -1     1    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Cedar Ridge             9- 8       1    -5    +++    6.93
   315 H Cedar Ridge             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.41
   408 H Roxboro Community Sch   7- 3       4     1    +      2.17
   409 A Northwood              15- 7       8     5    +      2.21
   418 H Northwood              13- 4       9     6    +      2.69
   426 A Chapel Hill             1- 8      -7   -14    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.74 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.67 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/