Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Kevan Bowler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9331818    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 7-10, 87.8)    13- 9   
 403 H Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.9)     6- 7   
 405 A Salisbury School       NE 1  West    ( 8- 6, 94.5)     3-10   
 406 A South Kent             NE 2  West    ( 8- 6, 88.3)    19- 7   
 410 A Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL (10- 7, 92.1)     7-11   
 413 H Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL ( 2-12, 83.9)     8-11   
 417 H Hotchkiss              NE 1  West-FL ( 5-10, 87.0)    10-12   
 420 H Kent School            NE 1  West-FL ( 5- 9, 88.4)     4- 1   
 424 H Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    ( 5- 9, 89.3)    16- 8   
 427 A Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL (13- 5, 97.5)     5- 8   
 429 H Gunnery School         NE 2  West    (13- 4, 96.4)    16- 4   
 503 A Taft School            NE 1  West-FL (13- 5, 95.1)     8-10   
 504 H Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 9- 6, 92.3)     5- 4   
 508 H Westminster School     NE 1  West-FL (10- 5, 93.2)    14-10   
 515 A Millbrook School       NE 2  West    ( 4-12, 88.3)    14- 3   
 517 A Canterbury             NE 2  West    (14- 3, 99.9)     8- 2   
 518 H Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (13- 3, 96.2)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Northfield Mt Hermon   13- 9       4     4          -0.48
   403 H Deerfield               6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.09
   405 A Salisbury School        3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.79
   406 A South Kent             19- 7      12     4          n/a  
   410 A Avon Old Farms          7-11      -4     0    --    -4.19
   413 H Loomis Chaffee          8-11      -3     9    ---  -12.86
   417 H Hotchkiss              10-12      -2     6    ---   -8.77
   420 H Kent School             4- 1       3     5    -     -2.38
   424 H Williston Northampton  16- 8       8     4          n/a  
   427 A Trinity-Pawling         5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.29
   429 H Gunnery School         16- 4      12    -2          n/a  
   503 A Taft School             8-10      -2    -2           0.88
   504 H Choate                  5- 4       1     1          -0.53
   508 H Westminster School     14-10       4     0    +      3.42
   515 A Millbrook School       14- 3      11     4          n/a  
   517 A Canterbury              8- 2       6    -7          n/a  
   518 H Brunswick School        6- 8      -2    -2           0.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Loomis Chaffee          8-11      -3     9    ---  -12.86
   417 H Hotchkiss              10-12      -2     6    ---   -8.77
   405 A Salisbury School        3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.79
   410 A Avon Old Farms          7-11      -4     0    --    -4.19
   420 H Kent School             4- 1       3     5    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Gunnery School         16- 4      12    -2    +++        
   517 A Canterbury              8- 2       6    -7    +++        
   403 H Deerfield               6- 7      -1    -6    ++     5.09
   406 A South Kent             19- 7      12     4    ++         
   515 A Millbrook School       14- 3      11     4    ++         
   424 H Williston Northampton  16- 8       8     4    +          
   427 A Trinity-Pawling         5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.29
   508 H Westminster School     14-10       4     0    +      3.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.02 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.36 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/