Conf =  Sec5                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Jaguars              Coach  =   Scott Cater           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6972504    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 420 A Edina                  MN 1  Lake    ( 8- 7, 84.6)     6- 7   
 422 H Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 79.8)     8- 3   
 426 A Eastview               MN 1  SoSub   (14- 4, 93.4)     7- 8 2o
 430 H Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (13- 3, 93.3)     5-15   
 502 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 8, 83.4)    11- 6   
 504 H Hopkins                MN 1  Lake    ( 3-11, 74.6)    14- 2   
 507 A Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 6, 87.5)    10- 4   
 509 H Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 7, 83.5)     8- 3   
 514 A Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (10- 4, 90.0)    10-18   
 517 A Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 6- 9, 78.6)    12-10   
 520 A Minnetonka             MN 1  Lake    ( 6- 8, 82.5)    13- 6   
 522 H Bloom Kennedy          MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-12, 70.8)    13- 3   
 524 A Blake                  MN 1  Indep   (10- 7, 86.3)    14-12   
 528 H Chaska-Chanhassen      MN 1  Missota ( 2-11, 72.8)     8- 3   
 531 A Edina                  MN 1  Lake    ( 8- 7, 84.6)    18-13   
 604 N Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (18- 0, 99.9)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Edina                   6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.62
   422 H Burnsville              8- 3       5     9    --    -4.96
   426 A Eastview                7- 8 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.11
   430 H Eagan                   5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.45
   502 H Lakeville North        11- 6       5     6          -1.29
   504 H Hopkins                14- 2      12    15           0.00
   507 A Prior Lake             10- 4       6     0    +++    6.30
   509 H Apple Valley            8- 3       5     6          -1.19
   514 A Rosemount              10-18      -8    -2    --    -5.25
   517 A Lakeville South        12-10       2     8    ---   -6.65
   520 A Minnetonka             13- 6       7     4    +      2.26
   522 H Bloom Kennedy          13- 3      10    18           0.00
   524 A Blake                  14-12       2     0           1.07
   528 H Chaska-Chanhassen       8- 3       5    16    --    -5.00
   531 A Edina                  18-13       5     2    +      2.38
   604 N Eden Prairie            7-10      -3   -11    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Eagan                   5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.45
   517 A Lakeville South        12-10       2     8    ---   -6.65
   422 H Burnsville              8- 3       5     9    --    -4.96
   514 A Rosemount              10-18      -8    -2    --    -5.25
   528 H Chaska-Chanhassen       8- 3       5    16    --    -5.00
   420 A Edina                   6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Prior Lake             10- 4       6     0    +++    6.30
   604 N Eden Prairie            7-10      -3   -11    +++    7.00
   426 A Eastview                7- 8 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.11
   520 A Minnetonka             13- 6       7     4    +      2.26
   531 A Edina                  18-13       5     2    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.49 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.86 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/