Region = MI 1                   
   Nickname = I Nighthawks           Coach  =   Ethan Frank           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.9790497    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Okemos                 MI 2          (14- 6, 85.1)     5-10   
 327 A Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1          (15- 5, 91.1)     4-17   
 328 H Salem                  MI 1          (12- 6, 81.7)    14-13   
 409 H Troy Athens            MI 1          ( 9-10, 82.9)     8- 7   
 412 H Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1          ( 8- 9, 74.7)     9-10   
 416 A Birmingham-Seaholm     MI 1          (10-10, 83.9)     5-15   
 420 H Holland Christian      MI 2          (11- 4, 84.7)     5- 8   
 423 H Troy                   MI 1          (11- 7, 83.0)     7- 8   
 425 A Farmington             MI 2          ( 3-14, 69.5)    17- 6   
 427 H Midland                MI 1          (12- 6, 78.4)     8- 4   
 502 A Rochester Adams        MI 2          ( 9-10, 77.4)    10- 9  o
 503 A Lansing Waverly        MI 2          ( 7-10, 72.6)     9- 3   
 507 H Lake Orion             MI 1          (13- 6, 79.8)     6- 9   
 511 A Massillon-Jackson      OH 1  NoEast  (12- 5, 90.1)     3-12   
 514 H Cranbrook              MI 2          (17- 6, 93.2)     3-15   
 518 H Davison                MI 1          ( 5-11, 65.4)    12- 3   
 522 A Brighton               MI 1          (13- 6, 86.8)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Okemos                  5-10      -5    -6           1.47
   327 A Univ Detroit Jesuit     4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   328 H Salem                  14-13       1    -3    ++     4.02
   409 H Troy Athens             8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.24
   412 H Rochester Stoney Creek  9-10      -1     3    --    -4.95
   416 A Birmingham-Seaholm      5-15     -10    -8          -1.41
   420 H Holland Christian       5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.09
   423 H Troy                    7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.32
   425 A Farmington             17- 6      11     5    ++     4.24
   427 H Midland                 8- 4       4     0    +      3.78
   502 A Rochester Adams        10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.09
   503 A Lansing Waverly         9- 3       6     2    +      3.38
   507 H Lake Orion              6- 9      -3    -1          -1.85
   511 A Massillon-Jackson       3-12      -9   -14          n/a  
   514 H Cranbrook               3-15     -12   -14           0.00
   518 H Davison                12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   522 A Brighton                3-16     -13   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Rochester Stoney Creek  9-10      -1     3    --    -4.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Salem                  14-13       1    -3    ++     4.02
   409 H Troy Athens             8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.24
   425 A Farmington             17- 6      11     5    ++     4.24
   420 H Holland Christian       5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.09
   423 H Troy                    7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.32
   427 H Midland                 8- 4       4     0    +      3.78
   502 A Rochester Adams        10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.09
   503 A Lansing Waverly         9- 3       6     2    +      3.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.95 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.29 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/